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SnowDreamer

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Everything posted by SnowDreamer

  1. SnowDreamer
    P22 looks pretty sweet...
  2. SnowDreamer
    A bit better for everyone, a lot better for some says Kuchera.
  3. SnowDreamer
    Thermals are better for 18Z GFS...
  4. SnowDreamer
    12Z GEPS looks like a hold-serve vs 00Z.
  5. SnowDreamer
    I know I've seen them before, but where can I find various lead-time verification score graphs?
  6. SnowDreamer
    12Z GFS looks a whole heck of a lot like the 00Z EURO. Double SLP on either side of the mountains eventually consolidates into a coastal. Thermals are trashed for a lot of the sub and new england is crushed with snow.
  7. SnowDreamer
    The SLP jumps to the mouth of the Chesapeake at 174 before riding up the coast and crushing interior New England.
  8. SnowDreamer
    There are several ways to fail LOL. 2 are too warm, 3 miss south, and P11 is pretty good but lacks the QPF of the bigger hits.
  9. SnowDreamer
  10. SnowDreamer
    This is either the season of udder disappointment OR the season of geese omniscience... time will tell.
  11. SnowDreamer
    Just need to hold this look for 28 more runs!
  12. SnowDreamer
    Weatherbell is a little pricey, so as a general rule, I don't start my typical monthly subscription until there's a decent shot at a solid storm. I just restarted my subscription for the first time since March '22. We're back!!!
  13. SnowDreamer
    Someone who knows more than me... What the heck is the GFS doing here? It looks like the ULL gets split into two pieces and then the piece from the midwest nearly stalls the piece trying to ride up the coast as they get close to phasing back together?
  14. SnowDreamer
    I was bored and thinking about how it's been a warm December IMBY. Linear regressions imply an increase of about .1F per year. The coefficient for both lines is significant at greater than 95% confidence level.
  15. SnowDreamer
    DCA gets the least snow within a 500 mile radius. Seems about right! These models really have gotten more accurate.
  16. SnowDreamer
    CC line has spread out and advanced pretty rapidly in the last hour
  17. SnowDreamer
    NAMs are much better than 12Z, especially for the western crew out in Loudoun/Shenandoah Valley.
  18. SnowDreamer
    3k NAM spreads the wealth well East of 95 on this run
  19. SnowDreamer
    12k NAM is a solid improvement. Verbatim jackpot along 81 vice West Virginia.
  20. SnowDreamer
    BWI: 13.5” DCA: 7.1” IAD: 10.8” RIC: 6.0” Tiebreaker SBY: 4.2”
  21. SnowDreamer
    HRRRRRRRRR’d
  22. SnowDreamer
    Love the dramatic reading here. This is what I came to see!!
  23. SnowDreamer
    I’m waiting for an EPIC NAM’ing at 00Z, then I’m going to feed my Ethernet chord to the dog before anything else comes out and wait for it to come true.
  24. SnowDreamer
    Still misses to the SE…
  25. SnowDreamer
    H5 looks a lot more like GFS @ hr 102 than 00Z did.
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