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SnowDreamer

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Everything posted by SnowDreamer

  1. No big changes on the graph so far in 12Z suite, it's nice to see 12k on the board. GFS remains entrenched above CMC/EURO/NAM.
  2. GFS/Ukie vs. CMC/EURO vs. NAM/SREF Pick your team before the 36 hour rug pull!
  3. Yikes that hook is gnarly! Looks like maybe a debris ball too.
  4. .5" QPF at 34F since 10pm... what a waste of a winter shellacking
  5. IDK, if I'm not mistaken, I believe DCA tends to report really low snow totals at or near local minimums. This is especially true in marginal events like this one. Also the fall line and R/S line aren't the same thing.
  6. NAM is an iceberg big enough to sink the titanic for NOVA/MD. 2-3" of sleet and then 1/4"-1/2" ZR to freeze it all together.
  7. If it busts and snows 1", you'll brag and 95% of the board will put you on ignore. If it snows 6", everyone will put you on ignore the next time you cry wolf. Doesn't seem like a win-win to me.
  8. Hard not to like the graph at the moment...
  9. Friend of mine in Alexandria had ice accrete on her jacket while walking the dog!
  10. The GFS has a discombobulated nonsense system that gives nobody in NOVA/MD significant anything. It does, however, support snow this evening for parts of NOVA. Spoiler alert: it’s probably wrong about this evening based on the EURO/NAM/PARA/HRRR
  11. Coating - Look at all that white! Here's a trace - It's actually lightly snowing in this pic
  12. Anybody else seeing the GFS PARA on WxBell? It's greyed-out, but looks like they may be adding it soon!
  13. Coating = can't measure it but the ground was white-ish. Trace = White rain = MBY for the last 16 hours
  14. I find his maps extremely bullish in most instances. They bust a lot. I think he gave DC 8" last week...
  15. Not sure if anybody has mentioned, but SREF has been trending up for DCA all day. Last 4 runs below:
  16. Euro also moving closer to big event on the 16th. Best panel 00Z vs 12Z shows shift South and East in snow accumulations.
  17. Overall QPF distribution very similar to 06Z through hour 77.
  18. Please be careful about posting total accumulation maps contaminated by other events not in this thread. It doesn't really affect VA/MD in this instance, but better safe than sorry.
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