SnowDreamer
-
Posts
451 -
Joined
-
Last visited
Content Type
Profiles
Blogs
Forums
American Weather
Media Demo
Store
Gallery
Everything posted by SnowDreamer
-
With the exception of the PARA, every single model of the 00Z suite so far has moved closer to consensus.
-
All hail king NAM, which has caved for the 4th consecutive run. Thank god
-
HR 36 Looks colder at 700mb again. I like it.
-
SREFs give 2.1" to DCA, joining the CMC/EURO camp. NAM twins on an island with <1".
-
I know but I just got back to my computer and that was the first thing I saw. The NAM has been @WxWatcher007's right hand man this winter.
-
+1 for this. DT's map still for sure higher than mine, but much more reasonable than usual.
-
Man don't DO that to me!
-
I gotchu
-
I'm not seeing that anywhere atm, but if that's true it would be an extremely bullish forecast for them.
-
Minor snow showers in D.C. on Friday help add on another inch Drier and a touch warmer is not a good combo... Small step back from 12Z
-
Past tracking has shown the graphs plummet around 36 hours out (from model init) a few times this season. That would be the 00Z runs tonight. We're looking good, but by no means home free. I'm crossing all available appendages
-
Both NAMs still have those 700mb winds screaming in at 90 knots, temp trend in the right direction anyway
-
TREND=FRIEND
-
Interesting panel on run-to-run 850s in the EPS... Significantly colder 850s at the end of the event supports some back-end snow
-
complete minus EPS for 12Z SREF and NAMs really pulling down the average, would like to see them join in by 00Z tonight
-
No big changes on the graph so far in 12Z suite, it's nice to see 12k on the board. GFS remains entrenched above CMC/EURO/NAM.
-
GFS/Ukie vs. CMC/EURO vs. NAM/SREF Pick your team before the 36 hour rug pull!
-
-
Yikes that hook is gnarly! Looks like maybe a debris ball too.
-
Feb Long Range Discussion (Day 3 and beyond) - MERGED
SnowDreamer replied to WinterWxLuvr's topic in Mid Atlantic
UKIE still a BIG fan of this storm -
.5" QPF at 34F since 10pm... what a waste of a winter shellacking
-
Feb Long Range Discussion (Day 3 and beyond) - MERGED
SnowDreamer replied to WinterWxLuvr's topic in Mid Atlantic
IDK, if I'm not mistaken, I believe DCA tends to report really low snow totals at or near local minimums. This is especially true in marginal events like this one. Also the fall line and R/S line aren't the same thing. -
Feb Long Range Discussion (Day 3 and beyond) - MERGED
SnowDreamer replied to WinterWxLuvr's topic in Mid Atlantic
NAM is an iceberg big enough to sink the titanic for NOVA/MD. 2-3" of sleet and then 1/4"-1/2" ZR to freeze it all together. -
If it busts and snows 1", you'll brag and 95% of the board will put you on ignore. If it snows 6", everyone will put you on ignore the next time you cry wolf. Doesn't seem like a win-win to me.
-
Hard not to like the graph at the moment...
