JustinRP37

Over the past few years I have learned not to get too caught up in model fluctuations and exact amounts. That combined with having a toddler means I don't stay up for model runs anymore. But two things: we have a cold airmass and things still look good at the beginning. That said this is still an early season storm with a warm ocean nearby. While it might not be the best for the city, this is HUGE for southern NY and southern New England ski areas that have been badly hurt the last few seasons. Let's get that white gold to them!

Going to Carmel, NY for now. About my max for commuting for the time being. But very excited to be closer to skiing (even if not the big mountains of the north). Yeah it is mind boggling how many areas have still not even been able to do a test run of the snow making systems. We could use a week with lows in the mountains being below 27. Let's make it happen! Right now the best skiing is in New Jersey... Inside a building off I-95. Depressing.

Thanks! I am excited to be further north as much as I love southern Westchester, it will be nice to be up by mountains too. I just hope we do get these overnight freezing temperatures this weekend. Would love for these tiny flies to die off for the year. It is just frustrating without truly cold air. I'd take warm days if we could at least get cold nights! Fingers crossed for snow to get us all in a festive mood, even if it is just a dusting. I am worried though about the ski areas because they need this season as do us winter sports people. Being outside really keeps risks of covid down, and it is still good exercise. Most importantly just getting outside is good for mental health. We all need more of this!

Not everyone was praising the great pattern. Plenty have been pointing out why this year isn't a great year. I am deeply concerned. Even looking at Killington (granted I probably won't get there this year), they are well below where they should be for this time of year. While sure we might get a big storm at some point, I do wish we could actually get some freaking sustained cold! Even this pattern isn't 'cold'. There are still tiny flies coming in my windows when I have them open. I am excited though as we will be moving further north to the Carmel area, so hopefully a bit more snow up there during the winter! Finally pulled the plug on a new place, so bye to southern Westchester for now.

I do wish I had half the optimism for this winter, snow wise, as the majority of the people posting in this thread. I just don't see anything to give me hope of a white Christmas, let alone an average to above average snow year. We will see, but it would be nice to have a good ski season for a change.

I'm fine with the cooler than normal daytime temperatures, but I do not want the heat on and I definitely do not want to hav windows closed because it is cold. We already have a small outbreak where I teach and being indoors with windows closed will only make things worse. This is one year where I would be okay with warmer than average temperatures for much of winter, as much as I love snow and skiing, I am very worried about increasing risk.

Agree 100%. The more fresh air we can keep in buildings the better. Schools right now need to exchange air at least 4 times an hour and that is much harder to do when you have to heat it from freezing. Also, even though indoor dining is open, I still won't do it right now. Had a few coronavirus scares personally both in the spring and this fall. I teach at the university level and have been trying to do some in-person teaching. I love winter and all that, but let's hope we can keep windows open as late as possible.

Would be nice if she would drop off some tomato pies. A joke for those from CT. Mmm I could go for some Sally’s right about now. In all seriousness though hopefully this one doesn’t strengthen. Louisiana is in very rough shape.

Now we know 2020 has really caused people to flip.

It’s like they forgot how hot our past few Septembers and October’s have been. Working in the field on ticks I can tell you we can get real heat and humidity well into the fall.

Just had some transformers go. Pretty loud explosions. Always amazes me how if there was 1-3 inches of snow with this everything would be closed but since it is a tropical storm it is basically business as usual.

Was I the only one that forgot we are in August today? I was looking for the July thread and scratched my head wondering why it wasn’t near the top. Even though most days are similar I feel like time is flying by. Can you believe it is already hockey season ;-)

That is about right on target for the time of year for the South Pole. Normally the coldest month of the year is September with an average high of -63F and an average low of -78. Warmest is January with a high of -9F and low of -19F. I think that may be too cold even for the extreme winter lovers of this forum.

Do you mean 2.2° above normal for NYC?

Sorry but it really goes to show you how lacking our education system is in the sciences. They don't teach weather like they used to. I remember have discussions in grade school about the different types of precipitation.

Do you know if they are blacklegged ticks or dog ticks?

It seems like each spring now we get stuck in backdoor purgatory and I am struggling to find a reasonable explanation. Very odd spring patterns lately around here. Will be very interesting to see how ticks are this spring/summer once we can get back to our routine sampling (if we can get to that sampling). Usually after winters like this they are much lower in our experience.

I read this as 4 inches in Margaritaville and got very concerned. But at least it is 5 o'clock somewhere.

If ever there was a year to have high humidity, heat, and clear skies, this would be it. Viral droplets do not spread efficiently in humidity and sunshine will help kill them off. It isn't a huge reduction in R0 but ANY reduction in R0 is a good thing.

Why is spring always so miserable?? The models continue to show well-below average temperatures. The past couple of years have been sad, too warm for winter sports in the area and then springs are a washout. The poor weather dependent businesses. At least this year they aren't missing much because of COVID-19.

Yeah, but even in our best of springs, it is still very gloomy for April. I tend to always try to take a vacation at least in March to sunshine. Few years ago for our baby moon we had an awesome trip to San Diego, Palm Springs, and Phoenix for 10 days. Oh to go back to those days. Seriously though was looking for jobs out that way before the coronavirus struck, need a change of scenery.

God if I could avoid March 15-May15th every year I'd be one happy person. Love winter, love summer, tolerate fall, but absolutely hate spring in the northeast.

Take a look at the temperature profiles. White rain if that.

I know a lot of people would love snow, but honestly, any snow would be about the last thing we need right now. Let's not hope and wish for snow. We do not need anyone wasting time plowing snow and salting walkways. Our buildings maintenance team is stressed to the max making sure door knobs, elevator buttons, mailboxes, hallways, etc are all disinfected regularly. The last thing they or anyone else needs is to have to add in 'snow removal' to their duties. The growing season has also begun across much of the subform, so we are firmly in spring mode and if ever there was a year to wish for boring weather for awhile, this is it.

No but I do remember being able to buy toilet paper on past St. Patrick’s Days and fresh meat.