JustinRP37

Looks like a few ski areas are throwing in the towel after today. What a garbage southern NY/New England ski season. Really feel for the local hills. Hopefully northern NY/New England can still have a decent spring.

One other thing, people keep comparing this to the flu and how the flu numbers dwarf it. I even see medics doctors saying this. The swine flu outbreak in 2009 began in April it went on to infect over 600 million but had a lower death rate. It was a pandemic and still continues to circulate today. If you compare the numbers by time since first discovery, COVID-19 is way ahead for countries infected, case numbers, and deaths.

One thing I keep seeing both on the media and social media is people talking about “well my doctor said this or my doctor said that”. Most medical doctors have no formal training in epidemiology. Most Medical doctors are also not infectious disease specialists. A general practitioner will have som familiarity with diseases of course, but not in their spread. Listen to what epidemiologists are saying along with CDC. The issue with COVID-19 is not people under 39. It is people over 70. Above 80 the death rate is over 14%. If my grandparents were alive today, that is not a risk I’d take by visiting them. That said be as clean as possible. And avoid large gatherings for now. If you have the option to work from home, take it!!

Stats people. This is for HPN. mean is 3.79. But the median would be well below that based on the clustering below 2 inches. That mean of 3.79 inches is pulled up by the extreme outliers showing insane snow amounts. This looks like white rain if we even see snow. As much as I would love to put on my snow goggles, I have to look at what the models are putting out.

We really need next winter to be a big one. Start early, end late. The local ski areas have really struggled both in attendance and financially. Big mountains up north can weather the storm so to speak, but in CT and downstate NY, this has been a tough winter for them. Know some people in the business and it is really tough on them. Summer of 2018 was above normal just about the whole summer with steam bath dew points that limited the daily highs.

It is impressive given the past few Marches. Also, compared to climatology it is impressive. Average daily mean for next Tuesday is around 38 degrees F in the park. Also, we have never broken 90 in the park in March. the monthly record is 86 which was last reached on March 31st, 1998.

Looking like we could really see a run at 70 next week. That is truly impressive and will be the first spring break to feel like spring around here for those on break. Few years ago we spent spring break on our 'babymoon' covering San Diego, Palm Spring, Mount San Jacinto, and Phoenix. It was amazing and probably my favorite area of the country. From the beach to snow in one day? Yes please!

I mean would you really want one storm surrounded by 50s just to remind you of what could have been? I honestly hate when we get a storm and it immediately warms up. Such a waste. Look at it like this, at least we won’t have to spend millions on storm cleanup and could potentially use that should the Coronavirus threat increase.

Wow thanks for letting me know how you feel.

I hear you but like @gravitylover's suggestion. Rutland has a great Amtrak station right downtown. That is our favorite area of Vermont, and Killington. Get up there and enjoy winter. While March is definitely more of a spring month for us, it is definitively a winter month up there most years.

I'm from SNE originally and my parents are still there. I'm actually up for the weekend visiting. It is a much different climate here than the metro area. Always has been. Overnight temperatures are always much different. SNE will almost always be in a better shape than we are for snow. If the threat is marginal for SNE, then it isn't even a threat in our area 95% of the time. Have you been able to get up north this winter? It is worth escaping for a weekend before nobody is left in winter mode.

Still wouldn't lose any sleep on this next 'threat' until Tuesday/Wednesday at the earliest for our forum. Right now, it looks like this would be for eastern New England. Especially with the progressive flow. We can hope it comes back but again with a sea of warmth before and after the storm we have to wonder is it worth spending millions on cleanup if it will just melt quickly? Those storms usually end up depressing me further as it just shows what the season could have been.

Up in CT for the weekend. Good burst of snow going right now. Feels good! Going for a walk.

Very true very true.

If any other real meteorologist other than JB gets on board with it then I would watch. Right now I wouldn’t lose any sleep over it. Even if it did happen, we are right back into the the torch so why waste the taxpayers money plowing and salting when it will just melt a few days later.

Dude, you have a young kid. Grow up and act like an adult for your child. If someone talking about warm weather bothers you that much, then I don’t know what to tell you. Life will be harder than a weather forum. The weather does not care about emotions or people on a board. You have to be objective with meteorology which is a science. People cannot instigate weather. People will always be disagreeable with you. Further with everything going on in the past week, weather really isn’t going to be in the top of people’s minds.

It is exactly this. I guarantee if we had a banner March with 50 inches, people would look back and say what an epic winter 2019-2020 was even though it was garbage.

It is well-deserved he has preyed upon a certain population for the decade and largely got correct because of the wrong association that snow = below average temperatures. Even though it has been snowy this decade, winter temperatures have largely been above normal minus just a few winter months between 2013 and 2015. He is always all cold, all the time why? Because it sold and made him a lot of money. Complete fraud that is in it for the money, fame, and politics, yet does not analyze real data. He lost my confidence when people caught him presenting half truths a few years ago, purposely only providing select data.

JB will ALWAYS be on the cold train. Idiots still believe the earth is cooling because of him. Look around, does it look 'cool' to you at all? Next 8-day forecast highs for the Bronx: 49, 50, 41, 36, 43, 50, 57, 61. There is exactly 1 day below average and 1 day at average. The rest are above average. Stop following JB and your life will be so much better.

What do you mean what torch? When was the last time the city even used salt this year?

Oh my comment wasn’t about you I didn’t see your post but in general I know a lot of people that just go off snow totals. One big storms makes the year for them and I’m just perplexed as a skier. That’s all. Sorry for any confusion.

Don’t you like baseball?

This!! I get so perplexed on this board and others when snow lovers are happy with a winter with one massive storm and a torch the rest of the way. I just don’t understand. Do they just like snow accumulations for bragging rights? I feel like half the people rooting for snow don’t do anything with it. I look forward to winter sports, hiking, skiing, snowshoeing, hell even ice fishing. I honestly would be happy with one 6 inch storm with cold to keep he snow around for three weeks than I would be with an 18 in her that melts in three days with a torch.

2012 started out exceptionally dry as well though, likely slowing down leaf out. March 2012 only had 0.96 inch in the bucket at the end when normal is 4.36. February likewise 1.37 inches when 3.09 inches is normal.

Well it certainly can't get much worse. What is this #4 on least snowy years in NYC? Then again we could be looking at a situation where a student gets a 28 on the first exam and improves to a 59 on the next exam. Big improvement but still failing.