JustinRP37

Ummm ban hammer time?

The majority of us are snow weenies on here. Not many warm weenies on here, just realists. If I went by your forecasts this winter, I would already have been well over a foot of snow. Instead, I'm barely at 3 inches, so who is more accurate? Many are just looking at the trends and models and most of the models this winter have proved to be too cold and accumulations overdone, as @bluewave pointed out, you have to look at all layers, not just the pretty snow accumulation maps which are terrible.

Seriously, unfollow JB. Your life will not have so many letdowns. That guy is like heroin for snow junkies. Just stop with him. March will never be the new January. Even with tons of snow it melts way too fast. Snow cover to me is much more important. I don't get why people get so excited for storms if they just melt within a few days.

Can not wait to escape to Florida this weekend. I absolutely detest cold rain. I love winter but these are the days that bring me deep down.

Now I’m confused

I honestly hate this type of weather more than anything. Especially when we are getting into the prime snow weeks. Next 6 weeks are our best for getting a sustained snow pack if we will get one this year. I am hoping that next summer is much more drought like if I am still around the area.

Chill. It will be mild to start January.We know this. Quit saying there is an agenda. We have discussed the cold down extensively throughout this month for January. All of us know and most of us hope it will happen. However, it looks like a usual cold shot right now that last 3-5 days before relaxing. If you keep attacking quality posters, Especially Bluewave, you will find yourself ignored from many of us.

Please keep the politics off this page. If people think 8 billion people have no effect on the planet then let them live in their ignorant bliss. But take a trip to the Keys, the Maldives, or any coastal area to see the effects of increasing sea level. And while people point out the earth has been much warmer in the past, that is true, but guess who wasn't here then? 8 Billion and growing people. The science is the science. I believe our current lifestyle won't change. Why? Because already we are far more efficient than ever. Our per capita energy consumption is actually lower today that it was a decade ago in the USA. Science is helping with all of this. Even the largest corporations are investing heavy in alternative energy. So please. Science, just like medicine is not politic. And before you say but it is only a theory, remember that gravity is only a theory, evolution is only a theory, etc. So let's everyone just hope to god we get a big snowstorm so we can all have fun. And I'd be more than happy to ever talk vector-borne diseases (tick and mosquitos) and what we are seeing. Now to go catch my flight for Christmas part II.

This thread is garbage on Christmas Eve. Merry Christmas to all. Wish we could show everyone how science is really done and I have never received my big payday from the government for showing tick risk increasing to the north as climate warms. Which department do I write to receive my compensation?

Definitely. Always latitude. We have been lucky in the nyc metro this past decade. My parents still live near Hartford so I was like my dad didn’t tell me about any 30 inches! Haha I still love to ski at Ski Sundown up there. My grandparents lives on the CT shore growing up and most Christmases we would have snow in central CT and they never had anything at the shore. We’ll see what this winter brings

Hartford has recorded approximately 19.5 inches of snow through the season thus far. The average for this date is 5.2. So yes, we’ll ahead of the curve, not 30 inches. Where is the 30 inches coming from?

Why are their two pinned discussions for the same storm? Tis confusion.

Have you met @Snow88? Haha might give you a run for your money!

It looks more wet than white. Who cares if it snows 1-3 inches then races to 50 and rain? This is the point I have made several times from an ecological perspective. Days with snow cover matters more than inches of snow in a year. Edit: hoping I am wrong but still not having much faith and having a bad day haha. I hate this type of weather more than anything (cold rain).

I'm sure there have been, at least for Albany as they can get into cold and dry patterns. 2015-2016 was one such year where Albany recorded 16.9 inches and NYC (Central Park) recorded 32.8 inches. It is very very rare though. I would say Buffalo will almost always win barring a bizarre pattern. NYC really is not known for high average snowfall, especially by NYS standards. We take what we can, it is highly variable here. Some years it is epic, others not so much. The 2010s have, for the most part, been amazing for us. NYC History: https://www.weather.gov/media/okx/Climate/CentralPark/monthlyseasonalsnowfall.pdf Albandy History: https://www.weather.gov/media/aly/Climate/ALY_Seasonal_Snowfall_Totals.pdf

We all know how the LR is that is why. I'm hoping for a big white Christmas this year. And if it won't be white we just booked a trip to Florida for January.

Should we open a nostalgia thread? haha j/k

Yes snow maps are garbage this far out, but I disagree that easterly winds this time of year keeps the low and mid levels cold. Most of models don’t even have precip until later Sunday and most have the metro area above freezing by 10AM. I’m hoping this changes but there is much working against this system for us. Unless the secondary can get going earlier we usually do poorly with this type of setup. No use in trying to pinpoint solutions right now. Although I am thinking of how horrible traffic will be Sunday night with rain or with snow.

That's what I meant. I was pointing out that pretty much the opposite was happening from what he pointed out.

The mid-levels are torched but the euro is now on the cooler board? I am confused.

Try being a scientist. People just do not want to learn half the time. It is very strange. This stuff affects your everyday life, your health, your family’s health, etc. Even here it can be difficult to talk statistics. Some believe we are Caribou! It is interesting to see the science behind our winters and see how it affects the local ecology. Even my study organism, the blacklegged tick is driven largely by local weather.