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JustinRP37

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Everything posted by JustinRP37

  1. JustinRP37
    I’d love a nice dry stretch now. I start getting worried around this time in wet summers that our dry stretch will fall during winter. Sigh.
  2. JustinRP37
    Right? Even on our warmest days if you slept with ac in 82 the dew point in your house would be almost 82 haha. I’d just die over night from drowning in my own sweat.
  3. JustinRP37
    I'm right on the CT/NY border. July finished 1.3 degrees above average for us with an average of 70.8. Our dews were the biggest story, but we have not had a heatwave yet. June was -2.5 degrees from average with an average temp of 62.2 degrees. July was our wettest July with 10.05 inches. I do think if we could dry out we would be above average for August, but right now based on what I see through mid-month, we'd really need to take off with temps because our next few nights will really drop that average temp down for the month. We could see upper 40s here tomorrow morning. As currently modeled, we won't break 83 until next Thursday and we have 4 nights with lows below 60. JJA to date we are still below average (albeit the exceptionally warm new averages).
  4. JustinRP37
    I’m honestly not see a sustained return to above average warmth. This might be the first time in awhile we have a below average JJA, which is quite shocking. But since below average months are so rare now I hope we don’t use up all our juice before winter.
  5. JustinRP37
    We could be on our way to our first below average JJA in some time. Looks like we remain right below on average through mid month. Heat keeps getting pushed back. Just like in winter we are running out of time for big numbers.
  6. JustinRP37
    The energy star guidelines that came out this summer say that you should have it at 78 during the day, 82 at night, and 85 when you are away. I guess they want us to uninstall and never reinstall. https://www.tomsguide.com/news/thermostat-recommended-temperature I'm also 72 during the day and 68 at night.
  7. JustinRP37
    Beautiful double rainbow!
  8. JustinRP37
    I’m not seeing anything like the past few days on the models. Maybe I’m blind but I see average to just below with some low dew days and some tropical dew days. But I am seeing more drier days than we have had. I don’t want to rush the pattern to autumn yet and want to enjoy some more summer. Each season for its own.
  9. JustinRP37
    I’m not seeing anything like the past few days on the models. Maybe I’m blind but I see average to just below with some low dew days and some tropical dew days. But I am seeing more drier days than we have had. I don’t want to rush the pattern to autumn yet and want to enjoy some more summer. Each season for its own.
  10. JustinRP37
    Odd the weather channel is going for a below average month temperature wise for NYC and Boston in August. I think it will be just above average because of the cool start but warm to hot finish.
  11. JustinRP37
    This might be the first "historic" heatwave where I do not even hit 90 degrees. Just a few days ago I had a forecasted high of 92, 99, and 95. Yesterday was 89, forecast for today is 89 again, and tomorrow 87. Sunday through at least Wednesday looks like a late September pattern and that could extend.
  12. JustinRP37
    This might be the first "historic" heatwave where I do not even hit 90 degrees. Just a few days ago I had a forecasted high of 92, 99, and 95. Yesterday was 89, forecast for today is 89 again, and tomorrow 87. Sunday through at least Wednesday looks like a late September pattern and that could extend.
  13. JustinRP37
    Damaged but not broken. It will come back multiple times between now and Christmas.
  14. JustinRP37
    I was outside working on my gutters and siding. It was hot but it wasn’t unbearable. With the clouds I felt fine. Then again I’m also the guy that goes for runs on vacation in Florida in August.
  15. JustinRP37
    Just had a big storm in Patterson. I have to say hearing the Mayor call this heat a matter of life and death was ridiculous. It is hot but it is not hotter than we typically get in a summer lately. It is hot and heat does kill but let’s not pile on hyperbole.
  16. JustinRP37
    No heatwave happening in Patterson, NY. Temps have been adjusted down. Today won’t get to the 90s. Maybe tomorrow.
  17. JustinRP37
    It’s also true that very few were actually calling for an ice age. That is a myth that has been perpetuated since the 70s. A Time article and a few other pieces but most studies showed warming. Even Exxon had studies showing the warmth that they downplayed starting around then. https://skepticalscience.com/ice-age-predictions-in-1970s.htm
  18. JustinRP37
    This is the ridge out west not the western Atlantic ridge right? A hot look?
  19. JustinRP37
    Can really tell the earlier sunsets now.
  20. JustinRP37
    “Cool shot” now is average based on the models I’m seeing. Days like today cannot be beat but ending just a hair below the average for the day.
  21. JustinRP37
    Oliver Stone. Roger Stone is a political consultant. Nuclear will make a great bridge fuel. As for biofuel we could do it with algae using diatoms. Some species can be up to 60% lipid which is oil. Very cool stuff because it burns like fossil oil and then recapture the CO2 to grow. Also switchgrass and ethanol production is not as easy as algae.
  22. JustinRP37
    There are plenty of studies about it. The birds being struck by wind turbines are a huge issue, but still more are killed each year by glass buildings and windows. As for batteries this is one I get a lot. Mining is rough on the environment for sure. But coal mining is even more damaging and since that is my background I can say that coal mining creating issues forever with acid mine drainage. At least with lithium and modern day recycling we can pretty much remanufacture a battery to near 100% battery health with minimal damage. Once you burn a mined or drilled fuel it is gone but the damage remains. A good few articles about EVs: https://elements.visualcapitalist.com/life-cycle-emissions-of-electric-hybrid-and-combustion-engine-vehicles/ and https://www.forbes.com/sites/enriquedans/2018/07/03/electric-vehicles-and-disinformation/?sh=230e5ec631e5. I don’t think anyone wants to proceed with reckless abandon. The one thing that really terrified me though is the solar blocking studies. Too much can go wrong there especially since we don’t even know everything about our atmosphere and currents. Until we can predict the weather more than 3 days out with high accuracy I’d rather not mess with solar input.
  23. JustinRP37
    Agree. Nobody is giving up air travel, cars, boats, etc. but shockingly there are many against clean energy and renewables. I get it all the time in my field and don’t quite get it.
  24. JustinRP37
    I think it is going to be tough to break 95-100 for the same reason we don’t see 100s in Florida often. The humidity is ridiculously high, which does tend to limit the high temperatures. I am very confused though by people saying this summer is not “hot”. It has been a very warm July statistically. June was cooler than the new normals, but around average from total historic temps. I am always boggled as an environmental scientist when people claim humans have no impact on climate. I always explain to my students, look around. Go back 100 years and you were lucky to see people owning one car per family. Now look at the world. We have gone from 2.5 billion in 1950 to 8 billion today, and everyone uses petroleum. It has 100% improved our living conditions like nobody could have every predicted, but it does come at a cost. As for those against biofuels and renewables, I don’t understand at all. Clean energy is just smart and will be cheaper. Former Southwest CEO Gary Kelly said the main reason they invest in biofuels is because it would be amazing to control their own fuel and not have to hope a war won’t break out. And then he mentioned all the great environmental stats from it.
  25. JustinRP37
    I don’t know about real heat, but it would be nice to have a brief reprieve from the real dews!
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