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JakkelWx

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Everything posted by JakkelWx

  1. The hell happened to the HRRR? Did it have too much JWB?
  2. https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/?parms=regional-eastcoast-02-24-0-100-1&checked=radar-map&colorbar=undefined
  3. 23/10 here, dunno why CAPE's dewpoints are so high. Must have been hyperventilating on his weather station after seeing that OP run
  4. Little quick obs note, the SLP primary appears to already be weakening on mesoanalysis. Was down to a 998 contour but now at 1000.
  5. Ooh eeh ooh ah ah ting tang walla walla bing bang.
  6. http://synoptic.envsci.rutgers.edu/site/radimg/anim_nrc.gif
  7. Temperatures falling faster than what the mesos had. I see this as a good sign
  8. Primary is in southern Missouri and appears to be moving due east with not much latitude gain. Edit: Almost due east. It can't be due east with not much latitude gain.
  9. The temperature drop after the D6 cutter is just obscene.
  10. I just thought of that as well. It's the 11 year cycle of epic winters!
  11. I did notice that. They are still going with an initial 4-6'' so that's reasonable to me. Maybe the RGEM is on to something and suddenly in the end we both get much more snow than anticipated. That would be the biggest score in years!
  12. Yeah, we ain't getting much more than 2-5'' after the initial thump besides a couple inches maybe on the backside and they don't normally work out.
  13. We seem to be having a lot of PNA spikes show up as we get closer in time. It may be disappointing to see a -PNA on the mean there but it washes out any brief PNA spike that might be in there. And that block is hella strong, just a little east of ideal.
  14. @CAPE Ready to track more storms? I remember when I said I wouldn't be tracking anything in February. Pepperidge farm remembers.
  15. Downgraded to an advisory here for 4-6 inches. Not bad
  16. The NAM had a much better idea for the December storm because it was less tricky, it got lucky and scored a coup. These hybrid "Miller C" storms with a strong WAA and then a transfer are throwing the NAM off for some reason.
  17. Man that is an ugly dryslot, but it's better than seeing 35 degree rain melting all the snow for 12 hours straight. 12k NAM is 12km of dryness
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