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JakkelWx

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Everything posted by JakkelWx

  1. @CAPE This is the warmest sounding during the storm in our backyards
  2. The 850 0C line stops right at my house for like one frame then shifts SE
  3. What an amazing post by WEATHER53. I see no flaws in any of his statements. Poster of the year
  4. I expect only 3-6'' from this storm, then the usual changeover to rain while N&W get a foot of snow. Then a cutter than an overrunning rainstorm
  5. There is a brief period of southerly 500 winds, then it goes back to south:
  6. You're going to be pretty busy in the panic room if this fails. This is probably our last and best chance of the winter before the pattern change occurs. Maybe if the reload occurs then we get another opportunity to track the next rainstorm?
  7. If there were to be bad trends, now's the time to do it. At least make me feel better by having the whole subforum dealing with sleet/rain
  8. Snow tends to changeover to rain when the temperature is 25 degrees.
  9. The ICON is similar to the EPS with a low over southern Delmarva, albeit further NW
  10. I think this guy is on to something!
  11. and i'll end up complaining about rain snow lines when I know I shouldn't this far out. Got fooled by the 6z eps's warm-skewed outliers. Now that I've had my coffee I feel better
  12. Ok i'm tossing the ridiculously warm biased surface temps. Onto the 12z runs.
  13. Weenie rule #49294 - Cold air always moves out too fast on the models when there is strong blocking and a 50/50
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