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JakkelWx

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Everything posted by JakkelWx

  1. I think this guy is on to something!
  2. and i'll end up complaining about rain snow lines when I know I shouldn't this far out. Got fooled by the 6z eps's warm-skewed outliers. Now that I've had my coffee I feel better
  3. Ok i'm tossing the ridiculously warm biased surface temps. Onto the 12z runs.
  4. Weenie rule #49294 - Cold air always moves out too fast on the models when there is strong blocking and a 50/50
  5. I don't really know how it will end up but come Saturday evening i'll probably be looking at the r/s line and telling it to stay south
  6. Even if we do turn over to rain we'll still get a nice thump at least first. Count on the CAD being undermodeled (weenie rule number something hundred and something)
  7. All it took. One post that wasn't what people wanted to hear. It's amazing how fast it happens.
  8. But its the control run of an ensemble.
  9. If it went out to 168, it'd be a HUGE hit. There's also 0c 850s almost right down to the LP.
  10. We want it to be showing an 880 mb mean not a 1002 mean
  11. @H2O might evaporate depending on how hard the rug gets pulled at tonight's 00z suite
  12. I mean the "worst" looking model for the potential storm still shows a general 4-8''
  13. Us Mid-Atlantic weenies are very protective of our back yards.
  14. 1/20 - Trace 1/25 - Dusting Seasonal total: Traceting
  15. Looks like the snow has stopped. Was expecting more tbh. But at least I have seen snow accumulating. I dont really care that much because I am drunk and have already been reaped
  16. Finally. I have between a dusting and coating now.
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