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JakkelWx

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Everything posted by JakkelWx

  1. JakkelWx
    31/11. Temps should drop like a rock.
  2. JakkelWx
    I guess the GEFS might end up right for this one. Enjoy!
  3. JakkelWx
    Right. I meant the 12k NAM and not the 12km
  4. JakkelWx
    Much more realistic than the 12km NAM on TT, which gives us a foot of snow. FYI i'm back from my little break, but I'll just be lurking and checking out the other thread.
  5. JakkelWx
    Yup! It came down heavy here for about 30 seconds. Light flurries now, gradually tapering off.
  6. JakkelWx
    I see that squall heading from the north. It's gonna be heavy.
  7. JakkelWx
    I will not be tracking anything in Feb, even if anything comes. I am not going to put myself through that kind of stress for another month, with little results. And with that, I will be taking a break for a while, starting now.
  8. JakkelWx
    12z EPS.. yeah it doesn't look good. Too far south. The model with the overamped bias is the furthest south. Lemme tell ya folks, I hate to say it, but this probably isn't gonna end up how we want it.
  9. JakkelWx
    then UGH.
  10. JakkelWx
    They're outliers. All the other models are further north.
  11. JakkelWx
    The euro and ukie are all by themselves. I don't buy their solutions. Maybe if those models were more reliable but they have lost some of their reliability.
  12. JakkelWx
    Sigh.
  13. JakkelWx
    Probability maps lol... why the cutoff from west to east?
  14. JakkelWx
    That was a HUGE difference in track on the GEFS, and a majority of members are tucked in between the OBX and Norfolk. Much more consolidated signal too.
  15. JakkelWx
  16. JakkelWx
  17. JakkelWx
    Good fookin lord
  18. JakkelWx
  19. JakkelWx
    CMC crush job
  20. JakkelWx
    Better jet dynamics, less confluence but the main precip shield misses to the south. There was worse PNA ridging though, change that and move it 100 miles further west and it's game in.
  21. JakkelWx
  22. JakkelWx
    Yall seeing the photos in the NNE cold season thread? Amazing photos. I wanna be there
  23. JakkelWx
    The sw is coming in more amped on the west coast, on the 12z GFS.
  24. JakkelWx
    I don't think we should worry too much about suppression, unless this was a month ago. We have shorter wavelengths in late Jan vs December. Anthony said the flow supports a southward bias but I disagree. Edit: I think he is talking about current model runs.
  25. JakkelWx
    Based on the 6z EPS trend Griteater posted, it looks like the NAO block up north is trending a little further north each time. This combine with better PNA ridging should allow the confluence to trend more relaxed, and further north.
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