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JakkelWx

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Everything posted by JakkelWx

  1. JakkelWx
    There is a brief period of southerly 500 winds, then it goes back to south:
  2. JakkelWx
    Nice strong CAD on the CMC.
  3. JakkelWx
    You're going to be pretty busy in the panic room if this fails. This is probably our last and best chance of the winter before the pattern change occurs. Maybe if the reload occurs then we get another opportunity to track the next rainstorm?
  4. JakkelWx
    If there were to be bad trends, now's the time to do it. At least make me feel better by having the whole subforum dealing with sleet/rain
  5. JakkelWx
    What a whopper from the 12z GFS.
  6. JakkelWx
    GFS is being stubborn once again.
  7. JakkelWx
    Snow tends to changeover to rain when the temperature is 25 degrees.
  8. JakkelWx
    The ICON is a scheisse model.
  9. JakkelWx
    The ICON is similar to the EPS with a low over southern Delmarva, albeit further NW
  10. JakkelWx
    I think this guy is on to something!
  11. JakkelWx
    Same here. I think we all did
  12. JakkelWx
    and i'll end up complaining about rain snow lines when I know I shouldn't this far out. Got fooled by the 6z eps's warm-skewed outliers. Now that I've had my coffee I feel better
  13. JakkelWx
    Ok i'm tossing the ridiculously warm biased surface temps. Onto the 12z runs.
  14. JakkelWx
    After.
  15. JakkelWx
    Weenie rule #49294 - Cold air always moves out too fast on the models when there is strong blocking and a 50/50
  16. JakkelWx
  17. JakkelWx
    I don't really know how it will end up but come Saturday evening i'll probably be looking at the r/s line and telling it to stay south
  18. JakkelWx
    Even if we do turn over to rain we'll still get a nice thump at least first. Count on the CAD being undermodeled (weenie rule number something hundred and something)
  19. JakkelWx
    Is it over?
  20. JakkelWx
    All it took. One post that wasn't what people wanted to hear. It's amazing how fast it happens.
  21. JakkelWx
    But its the control run of an ensemble.
  22. JakkelWx
    If it went out to 168, it'd be a HUGE hit. There's also 0c 850s almost right down to the LP.
  23. JakkelWx
    We want it to be showing an 880 mb mean not a 1002 mean
  24. JakkelWx
  25. JakkelWx
    @H2O might evaporate depending on how hard the rug gets pulled at tonight's 00z suite
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