JakkelWx

That's a little warm, don't ya think?

Not bad. 190% of my seasonal total last year (1.9'')

Randy is getting old??!?!

I heard it predicted a 48 inch BECS from New Orleans to Boston on Feb 5th.

It's BS. Ignore it.

The r/s line on the GFS should not be that far north, at h168.

Precip arrives in the evening

That must mean miller b potential. east based block

Yet another instance where the models shift north and I will likely end up all rain AGAIN for the 26th. If I don't receive at least 6 inches by the 1st week of February, I am officially out of this pathetic winter. Like come on, is that too much to ask for? This winter will receive an F- if I don't get at least one snowstorm between the last week of January and the 1st week of Feb, then I don't know what else to say. What else will it take to get one? Despair on a truly epic scale. @WxWatcher007 bring out the winter despair index?

1/20 - Trace 1/25 - Dusting Seasonal total: Traceting

Scheisse!

Once again I am falling for the trap of looking at mean snow maps

Or in this case, every six hours.

GFS looks like it is going to drop a deuce.

Close hit on the German model. Scheisse!

Duh it's only out to 144. The back edge is just barely coming into view just then.

The 06z EPS is definitely more amped and further north. I'm south of the 0c 850s at 144. Not a fan of that

Woke up to a euro jackpot

Mostly a rain/snow mix. Mesos greatly overestimated accumulations. I saw my first flakes.

As of now, four major meso models show at least a snow shower lasting for about an hour tomorrow morning. HRRR is the most weak sauce of them all, while the RGEM is the strongest. Stronger than its 18z run. The NAM 3km show a band just to my north with a quick inch near Smyrna. Temps will likely be in the upper 30s by the time the snow starts (if the band even verifies). They will fall a few degrees. No stickage on roads, just on the grass.

Will you be able to post probability maps?

Just under a half inch lollie at my house. All models show at least a brief snow shower or two but there'll probably be no stickage IMBY.