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JakkelWx

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Everything posted by JakkelWx

  1. The NAM had a much better idea for the December storm because it was less tricky, it got lucky and scored a coup. These hybrid "Miller C" storms with a strong WAA and then a transfer are throwing the NAM off for some reason.
  2. Man that is an ugly dryslot, but it's better than seeing 35 degree rain melting all the snow for 12 hours straight. 12k NAM is 12km of dryness
  3. NAM other than 06z is ever so slightly ticking colder and it stays snow longer and longer.
  4. Some rain = how much? Seems like after last nights model hiccup things went more favorable for us again. I got a little too anxious and was even sweating in my shower. Any sleet is better than rain.
  5. I read on another forum that the CMC and the RGEM are both too amped based on current OBS and should be taken with a grain of salt. This means the low tucks in too far west
  6. I wasn't expecting the GEFS mean to look this good
  7. Snow finally stops at hr 96 here but I'll take it
  8. Lol its still snowing at hour 90 on the CMC.
  9. One more tick towards more ns interaction would likely mean a huge hit for everybody, and then suddenly the RGEM wouldn't be such a fantasy anymore...
  10. The GFS looks like it has become the latest model so far to shift south. We'll see what it does from there
  11. I am going with the RGEM model.
  12. Yeah that's pretty lame. But its a step in the right direction. Edit: it's probably not gonna go our way in the end. It's easier to hope for CCB further east but what good is that anyways when it's all washed away by 12 hours of rain.
  13. It's adjusting to new data and I don't think those shifts are truly over either.
  14. Data OBS over the central US says that there are higher heights than expected. Great. More NW trends, and this will end up exactly how the December storm ended.
  15. Even people in the Philly forum are getting nervous about drastic north shifts on the mesoscale models. Looks like they may get a taste of what its like to live in the eastern shore!
  16. The 12z euro will suddenly shift the 1-2 foot zone south 30 miles and stay locked in all the way up to the first flake and a half. Bank on it! Hope with all your might!
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