I think models may be underestimating just how warm the SSTs are a few hundred miles offshore. If my suspicions end up being true then we may see more snow than models depict especially NE but i'll take what I can get
Initial band pushed here and dropped a small dusting as I looked outside, just like CAPE said. Also the RH here is around 80% and the final push should have no problem getting here, which is half an hour or so away.
29/24
The 18z Euro basically showed what the 00z RGEM is showing, a CCB but further north but it retrogrades from W-E to N-S and dies out over my yard.
4-6 inches front end thump, then possibly another 1-3'' on the backend
Primary is in southern Missouri and appears to be moving due east with not much latitude gain.
Edit: Almost due east. It can't be due east with not much latitude gain.