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JakkelWx

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Everything posted by JakkelWx

  1. The temperature drop after the D6 cutter is just obscene.
  2. I just thought of that as well. It's the 11 year cycle of epic winters!
  3. I did notice that. They are still going with an initial 4-6'' so that's reasonable to me. Maybe the RGEM is on to something and suddenly in the end we both get much more snow than anticipated. That would be the biggest score in years!
  4. Yeah, we ain't getting much more than 2-5'' after the initial thump besides a couple inches maybe on the backside and they don't normally work out.
  5. We seem to be having a lot of PNA spikes show up as we get closer in time. It may be disappointing to see a -PNA on the mean there but it washes out any brief PNA spike that might be in there. And that block is hella strong, just a little east of ideal.
  6. @CAPE Ready to track more storms? I remember when I said I wouldn't be tracking anything in February. Pepperidge farm remembers.
  7. Downgraded to an advisory here for 4-6 inches. Not bad
  8. The NAM had a much better idea for the December storm because it was less tricky, it got lucky and scored a coup. These hybrid "Miller C" storms with a strong WAA and then a transfer are throwing the NAM off for some reason.
  9. Man that is an ugly dryslot, but it's better than seeing 35 degree rain melting all the snow for 12 hours straight. 12k NAM is 12km of dryness
  10. NAM other than 06z is ever so slightly ticking colder and it stays snow longer and longer.
  11. Some rain = how much? Seems like after last nights model hiccup things went more favorable for us again. I got a little too anxious and was even sweating in my shower. Any sleet is better than rain.
  12. I read on another forum that the CMC and the RGEM are both too amped based on current OBS and should be taken with a grain of salt. This means the low tucks in too far west
  13. I wasn't expecting the GEFS mean to look this good
  14. Snow finally stops at hr 96 here but I'll take it
  15. Lol its still snowing at hour 90 on the CMC.
  16. One more tick towards more ns interaction would likely mean a huge hit for everybody, and then suddenly the RGEM wouldn't be such a fantasy anymore...
  17. The GFS looks like it has become the latest model so far to shift south. We'll see what it does from there
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