Mentally recharged. The GFS has been consistent in showing ridiculous levels of high pressure over the whole entire arctic. This run basically speaks for itself:
@CAPE Yeah I agree. My posts have been erratic, likely because I am just exhausted from all the tracking that I have done. I think it would be best if I just take a break for a little while.
This is not an arctic "bust". You're looking at forecasts that are based off the GFS which probably doesn't have a clue. Both the GEFS and EPS support an extended period of much colder than normal temperatures.
Shouldn't expect it to fix itself magically overnight. We know it'll be run after run of a miss because the GFS just sucks. Period.
(Unless the EUro shows the same thing)