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A-L-E-K

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Everything posted by A-L-E-K

  1. A-L-E-K
    lol, what a run
  2. A-L-E-K
    euro much drier
  3. A-L-E-K
    and para GFS, plenty of support now snowpack probably won't hurt either
  4. A-L-E-K
    15z RAP good for cook with .90 liquid and good plume still over n cook by 18z weds, 850s down to -13 by then as well
  5. A-L-E-K
    euro and ggem were good, gfs moving towards something weekend potential might be real EDIT: i've definitely slept on this concentrating on current event, looks good
  6. A-L-E-K
    RGEM improved locally as well
  7. A-L-E-K
    another nice plume(s) look from one of my fav weenie models, 10" over n cook and still ripping at this point
  8. A-L-E-K
    lake enhanced convergence over cook and developing plume from 12z NAM we haven't had a good lake setup yet since the hrrr upgrade so harder to benchmark but selling big numbers on this side is always the ez call
  9. A-L-E-K
    LES falling on top of cement > LES falling on warm pavement
  10. A-L-E-K
    aggressive look with LES into cook on 12z hrrr, superior connection with long fingers 1' for mimillman
  11. A-L-E-K
    fwiw HRRR came in wetter over IL/IN than 6z which is probably a good sign at this range
  12. A-L-E-K
  13. A-L-E-K
    gonna be hard watching good returns over MO just get obliterated today
  14. A-L-E-K
    I think we'd both be p happy with the 6z GFS LES is so finicky here and there is never much room for error, you hope the colder guidance is right and you hope the weak wave passing south helps keep flow backed longer than expected If I had to pick, I'd go Northbrook south to Jefferson Park or so for max combined totals locally, feels like frictional convergence effects are maximized there locally in similarish setups
  15. A-L-E-K
    pretty much my call exactly, although 4" of LES here would be high-end for sure
  16. A-L-E-K
    my expectations have been low synoptically for a while now (5.5 looking $$$ by the way) but the day or two of mood flakes from the lake on top of the fresh pack will be quality
  17. A-L-E-K
    Nest looking good
  18. A-L-E-K
    Event changing flavor
  19. A-L-E-K
    Powerball swooping in for dunks, you love to see it
  20. A-L-E-K
    Call looking $$$
  21. A-L-E-K
    Time 2 put the bathtub to work
  22. A-L-E-K
    counterpoint: post here
  23. A-L-E-K
    RAP
  24. A-L-E-K
    and the beat goes on, hopefully the lake keeps my call from verifying, lol
  25. A-L-E-K
    pullin for ya
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