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A-L-E-K

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Everything posted by A-L-E-K

  1. A-L-E-K
    ukie looks good
  2. A-L-E-K
    ready to do my best Cantore
  3. A-L-E-K
    yeah, I think far NE IL is sitting nice, with a little wiggle room to absorb north bumps which are probably coming given the strong advection regime and sub 10:1 probably fine for an event average, but I bet we do better than that during the period of best lift saturday evening despite the bad thermals
  4. A-L-E-K
    In the end, GFS drops 7-8 at ORD like more or less every other model
  5. A-L-E-K
    hard to believe this isn't a rainer
  6. A-L-E-K
    buried sat evening and mood flakes all day sunday is an ideal scenario
  7. A-L-E-K
    NAM slower, stronger, wetter
  8. A-L-E-K
    healthy 1" qpf cluster at ORD with limited clunkers dragging down mean a bit
  9. A-L-E-K
    From KLOT
  10. A-L-E-K
  11. A-L-E-K
    terrible call
  12. A-L-E-K
    Looks good, minimal run 2 run model variance continues with any minor outliers baby stepping into the fold.
  13. A-L-E-K
    Good vibes only, stebo
  14. A-L-E-K
    Naperville huh, sounds right
  15. A-L-E-K
    garbage^
  16. A-L-E-K
    solid hits across the board with 12z runs, near total sweep
  17. A-L-E-K
    DAB on the northside
  18. A-L-E-K
    we're golden
  19. A-L-E-K
    para GFS says DSM is on the road to 100
  20. A-L-E-K
    hype train already left the station
  21. A-L-E-K
    GGEM should be as well given RGEM
  22. A-L-E-K
    weak plume trying to get going, loop should see some snow here shortly
  23. A-L-E-K
    slp gets the squeeze from the block no matter how this plays out so raging backside defo with a cutter isn't in the cards primary work gonna be done by strong advection snows with exceptionally high pwats it's possible backside snows associated with ull passing overhead are a bit better than modeled but that won't be the show
  24. A-L-E-K
    the lee cyclogenesis over co and panhandle slp track really is one of the classic chicago tracks for a reason, it's a good look and the GEFS clustering for that track is excellent likely due in part to the block as mentioned in ricky's post seeing less fail modes in play
  25. A-L-E-K
    recency bias look at 850/700 is good here
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