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A-L-E-K

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Everything posted by A-L-E-K

  1. A-L-E-K
    this is the goods
  2. A-L-E-K
    they'll update in an hour or two, definitely a classic 6-10 look and lol @ mbp1 which consistently shows like no qpf which would be a heck of feet to pull of in this setup
  3. A-L-E-K
    would be nice to bump the onset up an hour or two here for daylight action, probably not out the question given the nature of advection events
  4. A-L-E-K
    Most of klot should be good for 7-8, southern counties will taint but will also see heaviest rates at onset, so I think they're ok. ORD looks relatively jackpot and could push 9-10 but overachiever potential feels muted given the limited 4-6 hour window of strong forcing and I don't see more than DAB+ falling outside the initial advection snow.
  5. A-L-E-K
    Best in the game^
  6. A-L-E-K
    Hit 'em with the weenie
  7. A-L-E-K
    yeah extended looks volatile
  8. A-L-E-K
    absolute ctrl-v mode with models here
  9. A-L-E-K
    cursed
  10. A-L-E-K
    euro gonna be strong/wet
  11. A-L-E-K
    1' at ORD even with struggle ratios
  12. A-L-E-K
    paraGFS continues its run of consistency with noise level shifting
  13. A-L-E-K
    ukie looks good
  14. A-L-E-K
    ready to do my best Cantore
  15. A-L-E-K
    yeah, I think far NE IL is sitting nice, with a little wiggle room to absorb north bumps which are probably coming given the strong advection regime and sub 10:1 probably fine for an event average, but I bet we do better than that during the period of best lift saturday evening despite the bad thermals
  16. A-L-E-K
    In the end, GFS drops 7-8 at ORD like more or less every other model
  17. A-L-E-K
    hard to believe this isn't a rainer
  18. A-L-E-K
    buried sat evening and mood flakes all day sunday is an ideal scenario
  19. A-L-E-K
    NAM slower, stronger, wetter
  20. A-L-E-K
    healthy 1" qpf cluster at ORD with limited clunkers dragging down mean a bit
  21. A-L-E-K
    From KLOT
  22. A-L-E-K
  23. A-L-E-K
    terrible call
  24. A-L-E-K
    Looks good, minimal run 2 run model variance continues with any minor outliers baby stepping into the fold.
  25. A-L-E-K
    Good vibes only, stebo
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