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A-L-E-K

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Everything posted by A-L-E-K

  1. might be the worst post in this thread^
  2. gonna get worse when the trailing energy ends up another coastal bomb / detroit duster
  3. the mid week period isn't a total loss yet and still holds potential if things in the pacific trend in our favor energy in question is still days away from the west coast and the environment out there doesn't give me much confidence
  4. big dog winter call going down in flames but 500k+ looking on track half a million, lol
  5. chasing futility in december is so brutal because you know a period of dusters in march is going to ruin it anyways
  6. Dry frontal passage to CAD to mild and boring...worst climo
  7. It's still D5 before the wave is on the west coast, so obv time for improvement but a wave into WA/OR isn't gonna cut it, we need something digging further into CA otherwise I don't see how h5 heights or timing are gonna work. Given how the pacific has played out, I'd definitely ride the guidance that keeps things northern stream dominated and shear out the southern stream cutoff.
  8. the extreme dryness over CA and into the mountain west is never a good look, they have a real problem brewing out there
  9. I am and always will be pro prisoner escape, you make it out, you should be free to go
  10. if it makes you feel better, we're getting some solid model agreement on CAD in the long range!
  11. couple colder solutions for the weekend popping up
  12. a winter of trying to time long range cutoffs into unlikely phases is already getting old
  13. bathtub adjacent property gonna finally pay off with the goods, been too long since an LES overperformer
  14. it's a brutal CAD run, at least it looks transient with the pac taking over again
  15. the 12z hi-res guidance is generally .1-.2 liquid on this side of the lake but I'm gonna ride the ukmet obv
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