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A-L-E-K

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Everything posted by A-L-E-K

  1. the real greats know how to take their hits in the no stakes game of message board posting
  2. u live in a château or something?
  3. it's on page 1 gonna need a significant bust on even low end guidance to verify
  4. paraGFS really wants to hit us with the vortex, it has the hot hand so it's probably coming
  5. they'll update in an hour or two, definitely a classic 6-10 look and lol @ mbp1 which consistently shows like no qpf which would be a heck of feet to pull of in this setup
  6. would be nice to bump the onset up an hour or two here for daylight action, probably not out the question given the nature of advection events
  7. Most of klot should be good for 7-8, southern counties will taint but will also see heaviest rates at onset, so I think they're ok. ORD looks relatively jackpot and could push 9-10 but overachiever potential feels muted given the limited 4-6 hour window of strong forcing and I don't see more than DAB+ falling outside the initial advection snow.
  8. paraGFS continues its run of consistency with noise level shifting
  9. yeah, I think far NE IL is sitting nice, with a little wiggle room to absorb north bumps which are probably coming given the strong advection regime and sub 10:1 probably fine for an event average, but I bet we do better than that during the period of best lift saturday evening despite the bad thermals
  10. In the end, GFS drops 7-8 at ORD like more or less every other model
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