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A-L-E-K

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Everything posted by A-L-E-K

  1. Hoping the early week wave can overperform and deliver a decent antecedent airmass but naso confident
  2. iowa derecho and that's about it
  3. well beyond useful range but the NAM is much less progressive than the GFS and digs he wave into central CA
  4. The GFS and most of the boring progressive solutions are breaking off a southern cutoff from the wave over the pacific before the trough gets to the west coast Hopefully we can avoid that, keep the wave intact and allow the trough to dig more into the four corners region
  5. Given the obvious caveat that phased setups are hard, I think we're making real progress with the wave digging/troughing on the west coast by D3/4 with a few models starting to get that look. If that's a real trend and we avoid cutoff hell, I think chances for an event in the sub go way up. Another minor positive that really only matters if a storm happens but there is actual cold air available for this one if it wraps up.
  6. Everyone needs to do a quick frankenmuth GIS
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