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A-L-E-K

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Everything posted by A-L-E-K

  1. A-L-E-K
    Natester is an OG pessimist, which takes skills in IA in 20/21
  2. A-L-E-K
    that's like the easiest rule in med-long range wx lately, ride the hot hand
  3. A-L-E-K
    DVN radar starting to show signs of life
  4. A-L-E-K
    this would work i guess 18" bullseye with LES still on west side of the lake
  5. A-L-E-K
    HRRR really liking this area now
  6. A-L-E-K
    lol, what a run
  7. A-L-E-K
    euro much drier
  8. A-L-E-K
    and para GFS, plenty of support now snowpack probably won't hurt either
  9. A-L-E-K
    15z RAP good for cook with .90 liquid and good plume still over n cook by 18z weds, 850s down to -13 by then as well
  10. A-L-E-K
    euro and ggem were good, gfs moving towards something weekend potential might be real EDIT: i've definitely slept on this concentrating on current event, looks good
  11. A-L-E-K
    RGEM improved locally as well
  12. A-L-E-K
    another nice plume(s) look from one of my fav weenie models, 10" over n cook and still ripping at this point
  13. A-L-E-K
    lake enhanced convergence over cook and developing plume from 12z NAM we haven't had a good lake setup yet since the hrrr upgrade so harder to benchmark but selling big numbers on this side is always the ez call
  14. A-L-E-K
    LES falling on top of cement > LES falling on warm pavement
  15. A-L-E-K
    aggressive look with LES into cook on 12z hrrr, superior connection with long fingers 1' for mimillman
  16. A-L-E-K
    fwiw HRRR came in wetter over IL/IN than 6z which is probably a good sign at this range
  17. A-L-E-K
  18. A-L-E-K
    gonna be hard watching good returns over MO just get obliterated today
  19. A-L-E-K
    I think we'd both be p happy with the 6z GFS LES is so finicky here and there is never much room for error, you hope the colder guidance is right and you hope the weak wave passing south helps keep flow backed longer than expected If I had to pick, I'd go Northbrook south to Jefferson Park or so for max combined totals locally, feels like frictional convergence effects are maximized there locally in similarish setups
  20. A-L-E-K
    pretty much my call exactly, although 4" of LES here would be high-end for sure
  21. A-L-E-K
    my expectations have been low synoptically for a while now (5.5 looking $$$ by the way) but the day or two of mood flakes from the lake on top of the fresh pack will be quality
  22. A-L-E-K
    Nest looking good
  23. A-L-E-K
    Event changing flavor
  24. A-L-E-K
    Powerball swooping in for dunks, you love to see it
  25. A-L-E-K
    Call looking $$$
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