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A-L-E-K

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Everything posted by A-L-E-K

  1. they were riding the 18z GFS before it came out
  2. KLOT peeped Natester's posts and decided to scale back
  3. i mentioned that earlier, it's very believable given the look at 850 and the way waa events play out
  4. yeah real nice set and a welcome late game jump, looks like more or less ord bullseye too
  5. 15z mean actually had a nice jump from 9z, ORD actually at 10 with lots of big dogs above, p good sign late in the game as they had been a bit drier than i expected
  6. the real greats know how to take their hits in the no stakes game of message board posting
  7. u live in a château or something?
  8. it's on page 1 gonna need a significant bust on even low end guidance to verify
  9. paraGFS really wants to hit us with the vortex, it has the hot hand so it's probably coming
  10. they'll update in an hour or two, definitely a classic 6-10 look and lol @ mbp1 which consistently shows like no qpf which would be a heck of feet to pull of in this setup
  11. would be nice to bump the onset up an hour or two here for daylight action, probably not out the question given the nature of advection events
  12. Most of klot should be good for 7-8, southern counties will taint but will also see heaviest rates at onset, so I think they're ok. ORD looks relatively jackpot and could push 9-10 but overachiever potential feels muted given the limited 4-6 hour window of strong forcing and I don't see more than DAB+ falling outside the initial advection snow.
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