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A-L-E-K

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Everything posted by A-L-E-K

  1. A-L-E-K
    I think the potential for this to be a phased bomb are p much dead but on the plus side, the general 12z agreement on another high ratio advisory type event looks good, with some local upside depending on the level of lake involvement. And unrelated to this thread but hopefully the big dog is delayed but not denied before the pattern breaks
  2. A-L-E-K
    meh, i'm fine with it given how ratios are and will perform in this airmass, we've been doing better if anything ukmet coming in like the ggem, so nice sign there
  3. A-L-E-K
    gfs punted
  4. A-L-E-K
    at least this should clean up that other thread GGEM should improve at 12z hoping all the 12z guidance backs off a lil on the eye of sauron looking block
  5. A-L-E-K
    i guess i'm more confused then, u do u i guess
  6. A-L-E-K
    valid Feb 14^, I know these little dusters are confusing to a degree but come on anyways, thurs pm into friday looks okish, some guidance has been showing LE/mesolow action for NE IL or SE WI but nothing too wild yet hoping for some improvements and another nice refresher
  7. A-L-E-K
    Gfs has been bullish for a while, its total lack of euro, ggem or ukie support that makes it a toss. Plus it's the gfs.
  8. A-L-E-K
    Give complexity of phase, pac wave spacing, and the block, I think progressive and sheared is the way to go here Obv a dog is on the table but it's a long shot Looks like 0z runs were even worse than expected, ouch
  9. A-L-E-K
    Great hit here, looks incredible out there
  10. A-L-E-K
    Want some of that late week
  11. A-L-E-K
    Riding the 18z gfs to huge totals
  12. A-L-E-K
    Straight dumping, making a run for 4
  13. A-L-E-K
    Making a nice run
  14. A-L-E-K
    Wintery appeal set to max
  15. A-L-E-K
    Guidance should have no problem here
  16. A-L-E-K
    Legal state
  17. A-L-E-K
    Quality city look for next hour or two
  18. A-L-E-K
    nice flake size, little wind, daylight hours...not too bad
  19. A-L-E-K
  20. A-L-E-K
    best kind of report^
  21. A-L-E-K
    radar in IA perked up nicely here
  22. A-L-E-K
  23. A-L-E-K
    looks good downtown on cams https://www.earthcam.com/usa/illinois/chicago/field/?cam=fieldmuseum
  24. A-L-E-K
    the mood dust definitely benefits from the snowpack, hoping for an over performer later
  25. A-L-E-K
    fwiw the cod kuchera snow ratio from the hrrr had generally been advertising 20-25:1 ratios, so definitely fluffing up nice
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