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Everything posted by Holston_River_Rambler
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January 2021 Medium/Longterm Pattern Discussion.
Holston_River_Rambler replied to AMZ8990's topic in Tennessee Valley
Those areas seem to get left out a lot, so it would be nice for them to get in on this one. -
January 2021 Medium/Longterm Pattern Discussion.
Holston_River_Rambler replied to AMZ8990's topic in Tennessee Valley
And the GFS says areas that miss out on this one (eastern great valley), will get in on the next one. -
January 2021 Medium/Longterm Pattern Discussion.
Holston_River_Rambler replied to AMZ8990's topic in Tennessee Valley
Para-GFS looks colder: I like when the snow shows up as purple, lol! That run looks good for S. Middle TN: -
January 2021 Medium/Longterm Pattern Discussion.
Holston_River_Rambler replied to AMZ8990's topic in Tennessee Valley
I did a point and click sounding over N. Roane county for the 8 - 9 storm on the 12z GFS (not the one above): Shows rain, but sounding guesses snow. I'm not super hopeful for my location to see much accum., but would be nice to see some fat flakes flying. -
January 2021 Medium/Longterm Pattern Discussion.
Holston_River_Rambler replied to AMZ8990's topic in Tennessee Valley
Just an oddball item of interest, but the ICON digs the second storm waaayyyy down into the Gulf. I would love to see that, just to see a low take a track like that: -
January 2021 Medium/Longterm Pattern Discussion.
Holston_River_Rambler replied to AMZ8990's topic in Tennessee Valley
MRX mentioned a subgeostrophic jet streak in their overnight discussion and I thought it was kinda cool that the NWS explanation for jet streaks: https://www.weather.gov/source/zhu/ZHU_Training_Page/winds/JetStream_Stuff/300_200_chart.htm is similar to what what the Euro is depicting for the Jan 8 - 9 system: -
January 2021 Medium/Longterm Pattern Discussion.
Holston_River_Rambler replied to AMZ8990's topic in Tennessee Valley
Overnight UKMET: Maybe it just sees the snow as 4:1 ratio type stuff as it falls over most of TN? ] -
Fall/Winter Banter - Football, Basketball, Snowball?
Holston_River_Rambler replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
EPS member 14 is truly a run for plateau east: -
January 2021 Medium/Longterm Pattern Discussion.
Holston_River_Rambler replied to AMZ8990's topic in Tennessee Valley
Yeah the 12z Euro was nice for many parts of the state:- 849 replies
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January 2021 Medium/Longterm Pattern Discussion.
Holston_River_Rambler replied to AMZ8990's topic in Tennessee Valley
I don't know what algorithm F5 weather uses for precip, but it looks promising: -
January 2021 Medium/Longterm Pattern Discussion.
Holston_River_Rambler replied to AMZ8990's topic in Tennessee Valley
Looks like I'm 0 - 2 today on predicting the GFS. But, still nice to see big highs trying to drop down consistently. -
January 2021 Medium/Longterm Pattern Discussion.
Holston_River_Rambler replied to AMZ8990's topic in Tennessee Valley
Maybe this time it will work out better, lol. Looks like the GFS is going for a big storm toward the end of it's run. -
January 2021 Medium/Longterm Pattern Discussion.
Holston_River_Rambler replied to AMZ8990's topic in Tennessee Valley
Not sure I've ever seen something like the CMC's depiction of the shortwaves: the block is forcing energy over WY to go into UT -
January 2021 Medium/Longterm Pattern Discussion.
Holston_River_Rambler replied to AMZ8990's topic in Tennessee Valley
That ended poorly, lol. -
January 2021 Medium/Longterm Pattern Discussion.
Holston_River_Rambler replied to AMZ8990's topic in Tennessee Valley
That's the only way to go! -
January 2021 Medium/Longterm Pattern Discussion.
Holston_River_Rambler replied to AMZ8990's topic in Tennessee Valley
Looks like the GFS is going to make an attempt on the second one too. Maybe for more areas. -
January 2021 Medium/Longterm Pattern Discussion.
Holston_River_Rambler replied to AMZ8990's topic in Tennessee Valley
Kuchera ratios drop 19 on SW VA. A Boone to Wytheville special -
January 2021 Medium/Longterm Pattern Discussion.
Holston_River_Rambler replied to AMZ8990's topic in Tennessee Valley
Def. some decent hits among the overnight EPS members (all 50 as a gif): -
January 2021 Medium/Longterm Pattern Discussion.
Holston_River_Rambler replied to AMZ8990's topic in Tennessee Valley
Para GFS opens up the arctic gates: -
January 2021 Medium/Longterm Pattern Discussion.
Holston_River_Rambler replied to AMZ8990's topic in Tennessee Valley
Parallel GFS gave some areas a decent storm around hr 200: I mention it, because it looks like the Euro will have a similar result. -
January 2021 Medium/Longterm Pattern Discussion.
Holston_River_Rambler replied to AMZ8990's topic in Tennessee Valley
I was talking about both. That Ukie run first got my attention for theTuesday deal (more from an interest in that oddball synoptic evolution) and interest in the Jan 8 - 9 for it's bowling ball potential. -
January 2021 Medium/Longterm Pattern Discussion.
Holston_River_Rambler replied to AMZ8990's topic in Tennessee Valley
Great pass for the energy, but nary a snowflake outside of I'd say 3000' -
January 2021 Medium/Longterm Pattern Discussion.
Holston_River_Rambler replied to AMZ8990's topic in Tennessee Valley
Yeah the first bit is more of academic interest, in that I don't foresee it doing much (although you never know). That next one looks bulky. -
January 2021 Medium/Longterm Pattern Discussion.
Holston_River_Rambler replied to AMZ8990's topic in Tennessee Valley
I'm kind of interested in the energy diving in behind it. It's not really wound up, but the block scoots it such a way as to kinda sorta schmaybe have a negative lean... -
January 2021 Medium/Longterm Pattern Discussion.
Holston_River_Rambler replied to AMZ8990's topic in Tennessee Valley
Euro has that system too and gets 4 - 6 on Roan. The set up is interesting with the energy diving in from the NW:
