Jump to content

Holston_River_Rambler

Members
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    5,720

  • Joined

  • Last visited

 Content Type 

Everything posted by Holston_River_Rambler

  1. Holston_River_Rambler
    I'm kind of interested in the energy diving in behind it. It's not really wound up, but the block scoots it such a way as to kinda sorta schmaybe have a negative lean...
  2. Holston_River_Rambler
    Euro has that system too and gets 4 - 6 on Roan. The set up is interesting with the energy diving in from the NW:
  3. Holston_River_Rambler
    Ukie drops 6 - 9" on Roan Mt.
  4. Holston_River_Rambler
    That first oddball system the Ukie shows, is actually within NAM range and it has some precip too.
  5. Holston_River_Rambler
    UKMET has it's own little idea for next week:
  6. Holston_River_Rambler
    This SSW is a weird one (granted I've only followed 3 now, but it is different from the three I've seen). It's almost like we took last years super strong SPV and 2021 said, yeah.......that was a bad year, let's reverse that and see what happens Last year:
  7. Holston_River_Rambler
    I really think the models are just now starting to seen whatever the shake out is going to be from the SSW. My take: This -NAO is a product of something else, related to the cause of the SSW or not. We rain and maybe mix above 3000' and snow above 5000' and basically Nino in terms of how the weather seems until mid month. SSW really sinks the AO, screws with the Urals high/ Mongolian Death HPs and jet extension, and cold finally starts to build in Canada. Then a trough dumps west first and cold bleeds east. Maybe we severe too, once or twice. Better pattern then through Valentine's day, maybe a little later. After that, do we revert to this weird base state with blocking developing in a Nina? Is there a second SSW in late Feb? (It has happened) Or do we TNI and severe? AM ensembles:
  8. Holston_River_Rambler
    We slosh? Until the mythical slosh commences, I'm just going to pretend I live in Redding CA for the next 10 - 15 days. Weather isn't much different.
  9. Holston_River_Rambler
  10. Holston_River_Rambler
    Some of the EPS member progression from days 10 - 15 are so nice. Here are some samples: There were more too and even some of the misses were not rainers, but suppressed storms. There were some rainers in there too. None of these solutions is likely "The" solution, but at least some hint at what could be possible if the block develops nicely.
  11. Holston_River_Rambler
    Here are all 50 EPS members as a gif: A little bit for all, but TRI and SW VA look really good on this run.
  12. Holston_River_Rambler
    As stingy as peepaw EPS usually is, this isn't a bad mean for days 10 - 15:
  13. Holston_River_Rambler
    EPS
  14. Holston_River_Rambler
    I absolutely cannot wait to see the Control's precip. panels for this time period.
  15. Holston_River_Rambler
    And after looking at the 500mb look on the Euro OP, I'm eager to see what the Control has to offer past day 10.
  16. Holston_River_Rambler
    A storm within 10 days, even gets close for TRI and elevation:
  17. Holston_River_Rambler
    Lawd Have Mercy
  18. Holston_River_Rambler
    Saw this tweet in the NYC subforum:
  19. Holston_River_Rambler
    I've been NAM'd with a flurry or three Sunday morning WOOTaSaurusREX:
  20. Holston_River_Rambler
    For those of you who want to see what they are talking about:
  21. Holston_River_Rambler
    For all you Knoxville peeps, Elkmont exchange is selling their on tap beer for $5 for half a gallon, if you buy a 4 pack of cans ($10, I think). Good deal for me. Got a gallon of Imperial Stout for 10 bucks. The only caveat, they give it to you in milk jugs, so it is NOT a good idea to lay them down in the back floorboard and drive back to MoCo. The car was full of wife, dogs, and groceries, so I had no other choice, lol. I made it back with about .75 gallons and a free Imperial Stout scent in my car!
  22. Holston_River_Rambler
    A (schmaybe) live scene from that HP in Siberia:
  23. Holston_River_Rambler
    I guess I should have been more specific. I don't mean to say that extratropical cyclone will be the world record, but just that that anticyclone/ cyclone combo is up in that rarified territory. Speaking of rarified... (the blocking John was talking about)
  24. Holston_River_Rambler
    Y'all may have seen Webb tweeting about the Aleutian low too, I think this is the one that is spawned by that high's descent. Wonder how low that LP will verify? The EPS mean is 928 and I think the overnight OP was 923. The 6z Euro best estimate is around 1070mb for the 1090+ HP: And it has continued to adjust lower with the Aleutians low: 0z: 6z: This is world record breaking stuff, up stream of us, and will continue to mess with the models until it resolves.
  25. Holston_River_Rambler
    Not sure if this is accurate or not, but wow:
×
×
  • Create New...