StantonParkHoya
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Everything posted by StantonParkHoya
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That’s because the board is littered with shit posters and wishcasters. You can tell whatever trend is bad for Tampa, that’s what some will point to — whether it be east or west.
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It’s also literally the only model with such an absurd track
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Damn thing is just gonna wash out over Tampa
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That is the 6z from yesterday, see time stamp as Sunday
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It also sent more members to New Orleans
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0z hurricane models split between north of Tampa landfall and Big Bend
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The mean is literally in the exact same position. Maybe 10 miles east.
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Can we take a minute and talk about the inland situation for GA/SC and northward? Pretty good rains forecast.
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Semantics. 12z has it going into Tampa, 18z has it parallel to Tampa
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Euro about 50 miles west, pretty similar to GFS. We may finally be getting a good idea on Florida target.
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GFS had it stronger
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Been bone dry in Raleigh for weeks. We can soak it up.
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As has been mentioned, winds are really a non issue compared to the surge
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The trough position really hasn’t change, it’s more storm speed/trajectory
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Kind of lurches it around to a Big Bend landfall
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Interesting they keep that NE trajectory longer term even with a H sliding off New England and models turning it NW after landfall
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Idk. I think the NHC forecast position is just about right.
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Ensembles, not operationals
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Euro goes Tampa-Atlanta-Knoxville-Columbus
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Just crawls up the peninsula. Maybe not even a TS by the time it enters GA.
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Euro’s eyes still locked on Tampa
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CMC actually slower and a touch west this run
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I’m betting they coalesce around Big Bend in the end
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Sure feels like some people wishcasting an east trend just to see mayhem for Tampa…
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1001mb at 11am
