StantonParkHoya
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Everything posted by StantonParkHoya
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I’ve seen some forecasts of 50-60mph winds but have yet to see any reports of such from the coast
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Hard to believe it takes 7 more hours to make landfall
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It’s 53 degrees at my location. Definitely more like November.
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Yes, but the southeast coast encounters high category hurricanes, whereas the mid Atlantic and northeast do not. I think they’ll handle it.
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Do hurricane models suffer any deficiency once a system transitions to a hybrid?
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Any convection or cold cloud tops are getting absolutely shredded once reaching land
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Has Ian started the NW turn?
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18z Euro brings it in south of Charleston, who knows?
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Speed difference?
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It’s looks pretty awful on IR
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And in between the two gets you to model consensus ne of Charleston
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See my post above, NHC calling it a hybrid, non-classical hurricane -- language I've never seen them use before
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Big ol' nor'easter right there
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Good article, and same point made by several NWS discussions and NHC, the eye location and landfall are really secondary focuses given the diffused nature of the wind. 50 miles doesn't make much difference from a wind perspective either way, more of a surge potential determining factor. Also of note -- NHC calls this a hybrid system, and a non-classical hurricane.
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Charleston to Georgetown, SC. We won't know exact landfall until showtime.
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Forgive me for querying "Wonder what Ian will be up to this weekend", logically finding "Tropical Headquarters --> Hurricane Ian" and hoping it might be the place
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I already asked: can we please make 1) a thread for post-FL landfall discussion, etc... etc..; and 2) a current obs/model discussion thread? I'm still in this path, and have to sift through 40 posts about FL damage, climate ramblings, etc. to see any discussion on future Ian.
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This thread is a dumpster fire
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that would be a 170 mile miss by the Euro under 24 hours away.... bold call
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Looks like Euro brings it in directly into Charleston harbor
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Any way to bifurcate post-FL Ian landfall analysis and updates and real-time obs/model discussion?
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Well, it hasn't hit SC as a Cat 1 yet. Never underestimate dry air and sheer once north of FL.
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Yeah, where are the admins?
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I'm sorry, are you from the future?
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Looks like most models have consolidated around a Charleston hit.
