Here in north-central NC, the wind is already whipping from the pressure gradient w/ the high to our north and Ian to the south. Akin to a nor'easter approaching. Can't recall a tropical storm with temps in the 50s before, but here we are.
I thought environment was supposed to degrade precipitously north of Tampa latitude, inland or over water?
What’s the environment look like once this is over Orlando?
If it were to, NHC says they do not anticipate any strengthening. Between dry air, sheer, land interaction, etc. seems plausible it would be high end TS.