StantonParkHoya
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Everything posted by StantonParkHoya
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12z NAM actually lights up Central and Eastern NC as the "deform" rolls through Friday evening
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Entire northern NC gets the goods on CMC. Looks like 6ish at RDU.
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RDU folks will take and run
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Tough for TV mets with a storm like this, where they like to broad brush accum amounts. Given banding, someone will verify or bust high, and someone will not come close.
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I think the timing shift to later in the day has certainly hurt things, specifically BL temps. That is impacting accums.
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Lol, NAM with a damn foot for northern Wake/Durham counties
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For RDU, I'm thinking -- initial thump (mix/sleet?), over to light rain for a bit, end in some higher rates as final bands move W-E.
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Please let it finish running for the more eastern folks before posting
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This could be a coastal NC set up
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One thing I'll watch for, in model runs and on-the-ground, is the "Dallas rule". Growing up in NC, Raleigh mets used to say if it was snowing in Dallas (as a result of a Miller A), buckle up.
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Clearly going to come down to where the banding sets up and who gets the rates to overcome the BL problems. The idea is pretty set at this point. It'll come down to gametime to see where.
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A word of caution on SREFs -- a few years ago in March, SREFS had DC in for 8+, Cantore went to the National Mall -- similarly in a borderline setup with regard to BL temps. It rained. Zero snow. SREFs fail quite often. Don't get overly excited about them.
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Quick question -- why, with so many great mets and analysis on this board -- do some post maps from media outlets? Is it just for entertainment purposes?
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Eastern NC actually ends up doing sneaky well this run
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Totally dry in CNC.
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The triad is west-central, if you consider the distance from E-W of NC.
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Anyone have maps? Edit: You guys are liberal with use of central NC. Looks like garbage for Triangle.
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I'm starting to think NE NC (Ahoskie/EC/Edenton) stand to do the best.
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SREFs are often garbage.
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I may chase for this one. Thinking Mt. Airy.
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Look at that Wake County gradient! 4+ north of 540, 0 at the south. Wow
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Timing not the best for Triangle - east. Mid-day - evening.
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That run definitely sucked for the Triangle
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Eh, kind of paltry actually
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It's a running joke in the DC area for southern sliders that Rocky Mount, NC is the snow capital of the east coast.
