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HeadInTheClouds

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Everything posted by HeadInTheClouds

  1. I want to say you have been one of the most level headed posters on this thread. Unfortunately I can't say the same for others and their incessant drama every time a new model run comes out.
  2. Even though Euro ticked north it still shows a good front end thump for HV, especially north of 84. Hour 66 shows .50 inch precip and about -5 850.
  3. I'm in HV a little north of Poughkeepsie. I have a question concerning above Nam maps. 1st Snow/sleet map gives me a foot, then next Kuchera map gives me 2.9 inches but I get zero accumulated freezing rain. What science goes into Kuchera map? Anybody know?
  4. I think we are going to get at least 6 inches before and changeover to sleet and FR. Just a tick further south and we could get a foot. Nothing set in stone yet.
  5. Agree, it's thermal profiles are often incorrect just like it was with November storm and just like it is now.
  6. GFS, CMC, and Ukie all were better than previous runs to some degree. I'm willing to bet Euro is the same or improves slightly.
  7. Perfect scenario for me in mid hudson valley. All snow. Lock it up.
  8. Yeah but also remember ground will be cold and precip falling at night.
  9. I agree with all the previous posts about the GooFuS. It's not very good but the FV3 which is supposed to replace it is worse IMO.
  10. I'm about 20 miles north of 84 and Im just hoping the freezing rain stays south of me. Hate the ice. I'll take the snow and little bit of sleet.
  11. Being wrong is one thing but for the NWS to basically be so definitive about something that is 4-5 days out is unusual.
  12. Didn't Upton throw in the towel this afternoon? Somebody may have some splaining to do as Ricky Ricardo would say.
  13. Yup. I would take that in a heartbeat up here in mid-hudson valley.
  14. You know things aren't going our way when we are talking about JMA and ICON, lol.
  15. That is very true and sad. I don't trust GFS or FV3 beyond 72 hours. Do you know when GFS is going to be taken offline?
  16. Ratios could be higher also, especially north of city.
  17. The GooFuS is a garbage model and I would say that if it was calling for a foot of snow.
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