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HeadInTheClouds

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Everything posted by HeadInTheClouds

  1. Most models have me changing to ZR around midnight. The question up here is how much ZR and how much sleet. NWS still calling for around .25 of ZR and 1-2 inches of sleet/snow.
  2. It was still a decent winter month and pretty damn cold. I had snow cover for most of the month even though I am one of the few who actually had below normal snowfall.
  3. It was still a month of below normal temps and above normal snowfall for most of this forum.
  4. That is all he's got because he is always wrong.
  5. Don't underestimate .1 or .2 of ice. It could cause problems and you could fall on your ass.
  6. General comments like this are ridiculous in this situation. It's says no to ice NYC metro and Long Island, its shows significant icing N and W of there.
  7. Really tough forecast. NWS Albany isn't buying the .50+ ZR in my area and calling for about .20 ZR and 1-2 inches of sleet and then 1-3 of snow. We shall see.
  8. People make these blanket statements about how the area is going to get this or that but don't realize that people in this forum are separated by 100 miles or more. Some places on the Island picked up 2ft with the latest storm and I got 2-3 inches. The climo is vastly different from eastern Long Island to Mid Hudson Valley.
  9. Not true. A lot of posters here live along or north of 84. My 850's get below 0 by 12z on the Euro with cold air continuing to push south and it gives me .35 of liquid after 12z. I'm not saying it's right but GFS and Ukie also show that possibility.
  10. It certainly can wind up as some snow 50+ miles N and W. Ukie, GFS, and Euro all show that.
  11. For NYC metro and Long island yes, but for well N and W Ukie has us changing to frozen after midnight Thursday night. Hoping for sleet/snow rather than ice.
  12. No doubt, Any ice is a problem. I'm worried that some areas are going to get .50 or more of ZR. We just don't know where yet. I think GFS is too cold and CMC is too warm, using a blend of GFS/Euro/CMC is prudent at this time.
  13. When I said somebody is going to get a serious ice storm I didn't mean NYC in particular and the 1 inch is likely way overdone. You are right though, right now N and W most likely and I'm 80 miles north so I'm concerned.
  14. The only thing that was noticeably different was it backed off on icing over southern Jersey. It was still very aggressive north of there. I still don't believe the 1 inch of ZR in NYC metro although somebody is going to get a pretty bad ice storm.
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