OrdIowPitMsp
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Everything posted by OrdIowPitMsp
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Interesting I didn’t dive into that. I usually just look at the 10:1 maps. If we can get extended time in the deformation band, ratios should improve.
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MPX mentioned low ratios, in setups like these it’s what typically happens. Also it’s mid March not January.
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Just saw it. Wow, going to be hard to sleep tonight if that’s what’s in store. Optimism growing. Top 10 or bust!
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I’d definitely feel better in your location versus mine. (Lake Nokomis - S. MPLS) Either way I’ve got cautious optimism in a metro wide 12-18” Starting to spit flakes here.
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Nice! Welcome! I’m a little nervous about the dry slot or mixing making its way into the southern half of the metro, but you’ve gotta be close to maximize the pivot. I think Anoka or Forest Lake is the place to be, but this should be fun regardless.
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Current thinking from MPX
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I wish there were more MN posters. I can only post so much on the weekdays with job and parenting duties. NAM has me nervous but I’m chalking it up to NAM doing NAM things. 8-24” is a comfortable range at this juncture.
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Upgraded to a Winter Storm Warning. Surprised they pulled the trigger this early. Figured it would happen with the afternoon update. The first concern is heavy snow, with a broad area of 10 to 16 inches likely, and a narrow swath of 15 to 20 inches Totals across portions of western and central Wisconsin could approach 2 feet. The heaviest snow will fall Saturday evening and overnight, with rates of 2 inches per hour possible. Winds will start out of the northeast at 20 to 30 mph.
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0.1” snow yesterday. Max wind gust of 58mph at MSP
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Getting some white rain. The calm before the wind.
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Cut these totals by 50-60% at least. Fun for posterity, dangerous for social media. 29” at MSP
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High wind warning followed by a winter storm watch here.
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I’ll start putting trust in what models are showing 12z Saturday. First call (throwing a dart blindfolded) 7.3” at MSP
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The dumb default iPhone weather app shows 16-19” of snow here Sunday and the normies are freaking out.
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27.1” this season at DSM. I think it started hot but faded like most areas west of the lakes.
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Wouldn’t mind a nudge north but I have a feeling this is an I-90 special. It’s been an entertaining week of model watching already, 12z euro is about as good as it gets
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Eyeballing around an inch
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Snow beginning here. The more persistent band is setting up to my north as modeled. Guessing we’ll see about an inch.
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High of 58 at MSP. Not seeing any ice shacks on the lake anymore.
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59’d today. That elusive first 60 of the year will have to wait. Edit: didn’t wait long. Temps are rising after sunset. 61 now!!!
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Winter 2025-26 Medium/Long Range Discussion
OrdIowPitMsp replied to michsnowfreak's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Very active look around my parts. Several inches possible midweek and big dog potential on the table next weekend. Whether it snows or not, just wonderful to have multiple events to track for once. -
AI is getting better
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We had a litter of bunnies in our garden last spring. It was amazing how fast they went from hairless newborns to regular looking cottontails.
