kvegas-wx

Light snow on the farm cams in Stuart Va.

We're getting cloud to cloud results here. Pingers one minute, nothing the next. Need better rates.

Pingers in Kernersville

After this non-storm I can safely say I have everything I need for the foreseeable future. Next event, grocery store, gas and dog food, that's it. If anything, this forced me to change the oil in the generators. So there's that.

100° real feel temp difference between Amarillo and Brownsville TX. Now that's a cold front!!

Purely focused on radar OBS now kind sir! Good to know you are here and watching out for us. I'm looking specifically at the band headed into eastern TN thats getting crushed by these low DPs. Seems the initial "finger" of moisture that was showing up on a few models doesnt stand a chance.

No flurries all the way back to Winston. Radar just keeps drying up. Dewpoints and cold winning this early battle. I expect we will lose all of the QPF before Oz to virga. That really limits this to a 12 hour event. We're dodging bullets in real time here.

26° at the farm in Stuart and it 100% smells like snow. Has to be just over my head now. Expecting to see flurries on the drive back to Winston. Generator #2 is in the truck with propane bottles and gas. I'm as prepared as I can be to help myself and neighbors. Its go time!

You know, the met collective could have just run with this a week ago and we would all be in a much better mental state.

How funny would that be if we all burned out from this week and we end up getting smashed in the mouth next week by our 12-24" storm? All I know is thank God I'm not flying the next 2 weeks. Travel is going to SUCK!

I'm not sure anyone cares anymore. I don't even recall tracking Katrina this long. It is what it is. We're too busy being suckered into next weeks blizzard.

This a bodyshop special. We get nothing but black ice and everyone wrecks their cars. Congrats Montreal and Niagara Falls. Unbelievable.

Are we there yet dad?

I want off now.

I'm so done. So.freaking.done

No matter the outcome, it cannot be understated that our mid/long range modeling is SO.DAMN.BAD. In any reality is it acceptable to have 3 major models showing me 30" of snow 5 days out and end up with this.

Ha! Sorry. Peeked at your profile. But that sort of makes it worse. Do better, cuz this is a sh*t show.

Mole hills are generally small and unimpressive. But if you want to make a mountain out of said mole hill, then by all means stand on it and preach brother Buddy! I don't think you will find much disagreement.

This is what we get when a guy from FL is allowed to start a winter storm thread.

Lets be honest though, the thrill factor with the kiddos just went from a solid 6.8 with just snow sledding to a 9.1 with an ice pack on top. This is the difference between a minor bump or bruise falling off the sled and becoming a human missile capable of shattering mailbox posts. ZR on top of IP on top of SN is about the best setup you could ask for in terms of fast sledding. It packs perfectly.

Oddly enough I had a discussion with a relative in Toledo this afternoon and they said their local met called BS on the southern storm specifically because the HP was weakening and not in the ideal position (retrograding?). Way above my paygrade of amateur weather, but seems to make sense if the models are forecasting a less significant CAD event with a much deeper warm nose. We may have just needed to wait until the ducks were all on the pond to see it.

The post mortem on this needs to be heavily discussed. We cannot fall for this again. Epic model failures for it to be 72-96 hours out.

We're not playing Yahtzee here. So get ready to crap out.

Cliff diving thread to the top already! As if the whole thing is rigged. Maybe more than the NFL is rigged. Nobody rigs weather better than us. When we think snow storm, boom! And I mean a big, beautiful Burger Boom comes flying in from abroad to fan the flames. And I don't mean any small flames, I mean the kind of flames that everyone is jealous about. Flames so hot that all weather models instantly turn our snow into drought busting rain storms when its 18° outside. Its basically raining hot water, because only the SE Forum could possibly dream up something this big. I'm talking the hottest rain anyone has ever seen. Rain so hot that no weather model will ever be able to safely predict a Miller A with a perfect phase ever again. So its rigged to keep us interested. And we fall for it every..freaking..time..when all we really need is some hot rain. #hotrain I need a drink.

0z would have me buying candles if I live anywhere in SC or GA. Trends have not changed much for a crippling ZR event and we're creeping inside of 72 hours. Man the sails and secure the hatches lads.