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Everything posted by NEG NAO
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	18Z GFS clown map
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	Another Rainstorm 23rd - obviously this is an indication that maybe the pattern will not be suppressed
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	Presidents Day Soaker - went from suppresed 12Z to cutter
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	NIce - but what do you see happening here in regards to sensible weather ? Down here on the ground
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	I hope you are not referring to me at almost 69 years of age..........I am just a grouchy old man........
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	the Central Park Snow Measurer Says:
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	this concrete jungle in NYC holds the built up heat for a longer period of time.......
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	I knew you were going to say that..........
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	then why no thread ?
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	and when we will need a northern trend in the model runs it will not happen...........
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	But as Walt mentioned its not good enough for a thread because this clown map you are displaying is misleading as to what actually would fall and stick ........
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	you posted the GFS model run for Feb 18
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	too far out
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	Upton and Mt. Holly say Rain and 40's
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	the 18Z GFS clown map always a reliable source........
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	12Z models= no snowstorm in sight and most of the colder air stays locked up in Canada at least through next week
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	never ???
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	Found this site detailing every NYC snowstorm from 1950 - 2022 Recap of Each Winter's Snowstorms in New York (1950 - 2022) - New York City Weather Archive (typepad.com)
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	The Alberta Clipper, Manitoba Mauler and the Saskatchewan Screamer are all sweeping weather systems that can bring accumulating snow and gusty winds to the Northeast, Great Lakes and Midwest.Oct 18, 2023
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	Maybe this will be a clipper pattern developing with very cold air in place can easily deliver 2-4 inches
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	Canadian is rain a day earlier then GFS with a perfect track in the middle of February - all about the timing of the colder air arriving
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	Time to start a thread ?
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	12Z runs so far all over the place for next week Canadian cutter with rain GFS suppressed longer range most of the colder air stays in Canada GFS suppressed storm track..........
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	that wildfire smoke was coming from whatever was going on in Canada......just so happened the wind direction favored it coming our way
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	the models and other guidance will indicate this possibility one way or the other very soon
 
