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NEG NAO

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Everything posted by NEG NAO

  1. NEG NAO
    need a lower pressure more dynamic system passing across the Del Marva at a less progressive pace to give the colder air a chance to infiltrate the storm circulation......
  2. NEG NAO
    this thread was not started by Walt because he is not confident about any significant snow with this "event" and I agree with him so far.....but there is nothing else to track in this boring winter so we might as well track it IMO.....
  3. NEG NAO
    Confusion keeps increasing too - GFS is obviously on its own regarding snowfall amounts - but it makes you wonder since it has been so consistent the last couple of days.....
  4. NEG NAO
    Presidents Day storm is too far out to even speculate on IMO
  5. NEG NAO
    Such pretty colors
  6. NEG NAO
    12Z Euro clown map still will equal next to nothing NYC and points south and east
  7. NEG NAO
    interesting
  8. NEG NAO
  9. NEG NAO
    lol big south jersey snowstorm on GFS
  10. NEG NAO
    Can't make this stuff up
  11. NEG NAO
    you talking about the 13th system or the Presidents Day system ?
  12. NEG NAO
    GFS has it blocked and Canadian up to 240 hours has no storm down there not even worth speculating at this point
  13. NEG NAO
    the biggest obstacle to snowfall in the metro with this system is there is no established cold air in place prior to arrival of the storm and you have to be far inland and higher elevation
  14. NEG NAO
    This is closer to reality
  15. NEG NAO
    GFS is total nonsense
  16. NEG NAO
    that makes sense since minor accumulations is the norm in NYC the last 2 years so maybe they can make it to 4 or 5 inches total for the season so far....
  17. NEG NAO
    Only the 0Z and 12Z runs should be taken seriously since they contain new Radiosonde Data which is a very important data input into these models 6Z and 18Z contain old stale data
  18. NEG NAO
    do you actually think its going to be raining near Scranton and the Hudson Valley and snowing in NYC Metro ?
  19. NEG NAO
    because when we see this not much to get enthused about because it isn't correct and other models at 0Z were wet
  20. NEG NAO
    Even the cold is not impressive on the EURO 2/18 most of it locked up in Canada
  21. NEG NAO
    when the worst model is the only hit - time to start looking down the road for other possibilities which there are none as of now - Presidents Day is too far away and the EURO the day before 2/18 does not look impressive
  22. NEG NAO
    Forget about snow early next week Euro says NO
  23. NEG NAO
    I think the 0Z GFS should be tossed after seeing that MECS on it for next week and now this
  24. NEG NAO
    agreed
  25. NEG NAO
    I know but when you see this suppression is less likely
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