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Everything posted by Vice-Regent
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Late season dirty ridging is so dangerous because it is carrying the momentum from peak insolation. At least that's how I interpret the situation. Here is some perspective.
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Could it pull a Faux Joaquin at some point? Interesting days ahead assuming the TC in question gains a foothold. It's pretty early in the year for deep troughs so it seems Florida-bound.
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Short answer is yes. More like non-existent aside from sun angle changes. Although the aggressive warming near AK has caught my attention. It could throw a wrench into my prediction. I mean look at that insanity. There's like a 500,000 sq mile area of 7 C+ ocean anomalies. We are profoundly f***.
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If it's inevitable then when it happens does not matter. Nobody payed attention to Paul Beckwith's three-legged bar stool.
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2019 East & Central Pacific Season
Vice-Regent replied to Windspeed's topic in Tropical Headquarters
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2019 East & Central Pacific Season
Vice-Regent replied to Windspeed's topic in Tropical Headquarters
Red meat beast in the East PAC. That's not very common. -
Hansen Et. al. The meltwater injector.
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Is that 100% ice-free? 90% ice-free is regarded as largely the correct definition. Once that happens the rest is not far behind. The Arctic effectively turns into a sub-tropical ocean basin with persistent cloud cover in the winter. It is the primary mechanism for the tipping point.
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2019 Mid-Atlantic Severe Wx - General Discussion
Vice-Regent replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
Deck pics or it didn't happen.- 2,802 replies
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2019 Mid-Atlantic Severe Wx - General Discussion
Vice-Regent replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
We have the money shot. Storm tracking on the coastal plain is incredible.- 2,802 replies
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2019 Mid-Atlantic Severe Wx - General Discussion
Vice-Regent replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
Here are some pics from yesterday to keep us occupied while we wait. There was possibly a brief rain-wrapped waterspout. It is difficult to ascertain the peak intensity of this particular storm. Winds gusted to about 45mph on shore with visibility dropping to 1/8 mile. (Looking west towards Delaware 5/29/19)- 2,802 replies
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2019 Mid-Atlantic Severe Wx - General Discussion
Vice-Regent replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
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2019 Mid-Atlantic Severe Wx - General Discussion
Vice-Regent replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
Our climo is turning into an Inland Gulf Coast type. Maybe Arkansas or Eastern Oklahoma where the main show shifts towards the warm season.- 2,802 replies
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2019 Mid-Atlantic Severe Wx - General Discussion
Vice-Regent replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
It's always the blob. Looking for a June 2012 derecho but it never happens.- 2,802 replies
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2019 Mid-Atlantic Severe Wx - General Discussion
Vice-Regent replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
91 at KWWD ... T-Storm probabilities upped to 70%. I am pumped. It's very rare to get back to back severe wx days locally. 3 days if you count yesterday.- 2,802 replies
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2019 Mid-Atlantic Severe Wx - General Discussion
Vice-Regent replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
Looks promising. New QLCS forming west of the Blue Ridge?- 2,802 replies
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2019 Mid-Atlantic Severe Wx - General Discussion
Vice-Regent replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
Roughly 0.80" or so in South Jerz. Much more to my south over Cape May Point.- 2,802 replies
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2019 Mid-Atlantic Severe Wx - General Discussion
Vice-Regent replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
DC is the new Louisiana. You guys thought I was done just yet.- 2,802 replies
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2019 Mid-Atlantic Severe Wx - General Discussion
Vice-Regent replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
Getting some sea-breeze interaction with the front-running stuff. Interesting event. It's got all of the signals of being a sub-historic severe wx outbreak.- 2,802 replies
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It's that cloud feedback. The ocean profile is the canary in the coal mine for climate change over land regions. I am skeptical of outdoor agriculture being tenable in CFA and DFA zones in the coming decades.
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Southern MD / Lower Eastern Shore weather discussion
Vice-Regent replied to PrinceFrederickWx's topic in Mid Atlantic
How is it 32 at Salisbury and 39 in Georgetown? That is bizarre for sure. 31 at KWWD. Heavy snow burst but now dryslotted. -
Could be an artifact of a growing network of observations. Before 2000 ocean heat content was very poorly measured especially at depth.
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Good luck to the world....