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Posts posted by Vice-Regent
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I lost my taste in meat years ago. It's kind of like freeing up yourself from snow depression. Friendly advice for anyone looking to escape weenie hell.
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14 hours ago, LibertyBell said:
by the way some are mistakenly thinking the 10% reduction in fossil fuels is actually causing the abnormal cold we are seeing this month LOL I'm sure many in Texas will be thinking that when Dallas goes below zero next week.
If you can dry the air adiabatically it doesn't matter how much GHG forcing is loaded into the system. The sun doesn't shine up there it's that simple but at some point the ocean and persistent cloud cover will completely overwhelm the system.
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On 2/9/2021 at 1:51 AM, skierinvermont said:
As bdwx said, not really. The decrease in aerosols this year was very small. I know where I live, traffic has been normal all year except for a couple months around April. Global oil and coal consumption barely decreased (-5% for coal). If aerosols decreased 5%, as coal did, then the .03C would be 1/20th the total aerosol cooling (assuming the response is linear) and eliminating human aerosols would cause .6C of warming.
But as bdwx also said, using aerosols to geoengineer is also potentially dangerous. For starters, aerosols have caused global dimming and a reduction in plant growth. And most aerosols are associated with severe human health effects currently estimated to be in the millions of premature deaths per year.
The idea in stratospheric radiation management is just that. To keep the damage and effects in the stratosphere but there is no clear incentive as we show no signs of abandoning technology and civilization.
Without such a stance there is only one path forward which is accelerationism which tends to favor more conservative minds. The current modus operandi is liberalism and technology and as a result you are right to be critical of the current world order and especially the massive censorship and battering of humanity now occurring.
Without a holistic perspective there is no hope of ever rallying the right people or "solving" the problems. IE weaponizing populism in order to destroy technological slavery and end overpopulation and resource exploitation. Technology may be able to stop a good chunk of us before it goes under but all of the batter. You tackle two problems simultaneously.
Nobody or any specific organization or corporation or government has any authority over the trajectory of this planet and we will make that known with time. This isn't 1930 or something where fascism and communism runs wild across the world and people are off doing their own thing. Young people are about to shake things up but all of the things were going to be destroyed anyways.
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On 2/3/2021 at 4:51 PM, bdgwx said:
We are starting to see studies regarding just how much the pandemic influenced the global mean temperature in 2020.
https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/2020GL091805
About +0.03C per the study above and is attributable to reduced aerosol optical depths.
Disappointing news if you thought aerosols could cool the Earth significantly via geoengineering.
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Just now, MillvilleWx said:
I take it you are probably going to tuck that frame into bed with you tonight? That's some serious lift for a good 2 hr period for your hood
I blame Bob Chill for these posts.
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Just now, H2O said:
does that affect your rain?
How is the glaze treating you? Good luck with that.
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1 minute ago, frd said:
Going to require some phasing, lets see the afternoon EPS . I can't wait 10 days for more snow.
Sun Angle is getting unreal bad if you are south of 38N. I agree brother.
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1 minute ago, Herb@MAWS said:
Peanuts Xmas Special snow rates.
If anything the novelty of it all justifies the fail. I didn't want to live through another Jan 2016.
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A name like @Wetbulbs88 needs no introduction. Too bad we can't all have a wet bulb below 0C for the duration.
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4 minutes ago, jayyy said:
#fulltuck
im baffled though. Placement, h5/h7... they all look great. God I hope that dry slot is wrong. Without that, it’s a region wide burial.
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Slant-stick your way to climatological normals. Do it for posterity.
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Thermals are starting to give way outside of the mountains. Not sure if it's workable.
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Don't post the maps when it's bad because that's how it snows around here.
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Just now, Always in Zugzwang said:
Is that the equivalent of "Shut up, Chuck!"??
What happened to @AfewUniversesBelowNormal ?
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Here comes the slow-side into the trash can for locals. This winter cannot be salvaged.
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3 minutes ago, Ji said:
im tired of the euro showing us snow and then caving to the GFS. Just an embarrasemnt for the european community
It's got this weird thing going on with the Atlantic height anomalies causing the flow to be less progressive than it is.
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2 minutes ago, Ji said:
how come what shows up on the ensembles in terms of snow never show up on the OP
Blended mean solutions, lower resolution, etc.
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2 minutes ago, JakkelWx said:
Not until I have at least an inch of snow OTG
There is nothing to show for it. The usual suspects get theirs as usual.
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10 minutes ago, pasnownut said:
Not sure how/ why but maybe Wiggie has taken to Ji's infectious persona.....
I'm of the mindset (like many) that with the upcoming pattern and the ebs and flows of change we are seeing on the models, that it wont take too much to luck into something (appetizer kinds stuff) while waiting for that 372hr shellacking to get closer....
It's not going to deliver south of 41N or so. Even the historic Madrid snows occurred north of us and that was a perfect setup. In regards to the snow in Lousiana.. we won't be able to repeat that insane blocking so there's that. Strato PV thoroughly recycled and probably somewhat crippled.
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On 12/31/2020 at 8:39 AM, LibertyBell said:
I'd be extremely cautious in calling Canada progressive. I'm sure you know about Alberta's dirty tar sands projects that are polluting wildlife areas and they are scaling up production of dirty fossil fuels (forecast to double within the 10 years), even with all the widespread protests by the native american communities as well as environmental activists. They could keep that going for 400 years if they were to completely take all the carbon out of the ground there. So let me ask you this-- why should the Trudeau administration be viewed as anything other than a lying hypocrisy that needs to be voted out when they are scaling up production of dirty fossil fuels from the Tar Sands? Why are they going backwards when we should all be going forwards and how should we as a global community be punishing them to de-incentivize this kind of bad behavior? We should be punishing ALL nations that do bad behavior like this that has global implications.
Among the greater deceptions of modern times. Canada was once a bastion of hope for many but the corporate reach is unprecedented.
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As @FPizz pointed out. It's all over-valued and over-developed garbage land that is at risk. Cape May may be a rare exception but yeah. The only people who stand to lose much are the super wealthy. However the loss of mangroves and wetlands will entail an extinction threat for some species of birds and fish.
The way we live is completely wrong. Coastlines are the most valuable assets you could ever maintain because they protect you from oceanic pollution/overfishing and storm surge. Most coastlines should be human exclusion zones period. Only allowed for aesthetic and rewilding reasons.
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Let the idiots pay for it. They tend to be concentrated on the coastlines at any rate.
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Feb Long Range Discussion (Day 3 and beyond) - MERGED
in Mid Atlantic
Posted
Pump and dump that's how we roll in the
Mid-AtlanticSoutheast.