Vice-Regent

8 minutes ago, forkyfork said:

as a kid i remember hot summer days with widespread severe storms followed by temps in the 80's with a stiff nw breeze the next day. it feels like that type of progression has all but disappeared 

Welcome to my world. It happened here 2-3 years earlier despite the small difference in latitude. Anybody who cares about meteorology knows the truth. The old climate is gone.

2 hours ago, pazzo83 said:

No 80F low - oh well, hopefully we'll have more shots going forward.

it's 86 here at KWWD. We can def get that because water temps have risen to about 80 degrees.

Just now, Vice-Regent said:

Here are some pics from earlier to do this event justice. The cover is like the book right.

Enjoy guys.

3 hours ago, WxUSAF said:

Nailed it

YES but I got fringed some weeks back. It all averages out in the end.

On 7/6/2020 at 2:44 PM, H2O said:

Caught this last night before coming back from the eastern shore. 

Sea levels looking a little elevated. No? Just messin' great pic here.

Nobody eats better than the Mid-Atlantic. True story and probably drinks better as well.

18 hours ago, nw baltimore wx said:

My stomach has been acting up the last three days which is very unusual for me. I looked up stomach soothing drinks and the closest thing we’ve got in the house is green chartreuse. Syrupy and generally nasty, but doing the trick on my stomach. And my head.

Nervous stress most likely. Take care brother.

Winter is dead. It's like 100 degrees in New Brunswick, Canada....

C.r.a.p.o.l.a

10 minutes ago, Kmlwx said:

Look at hr108 on the 12z CIPS guidance 

Off the charts severe wx. I hope it verifies.

25 minutes ago, WxUSAF said:

48F this morning.  Last 40s until September, or can we get another this month?

Try Thanksgiving.

Disco Obs

WRF-NMM model. I think the GFS is perfectly capable of handling ULL interactions. The short-term motion is what is causing the changes. Most likely from the beefed up energy in Texas.

4 minutes ago, bluewave said:

 The GFS tried to do the same with Joaquin while all the other guidance was OTS. You can see the 12z beginning to shift toward the other models. 
 

 

Are you trying to say that this setup is impossible or just the GFS is bad at handling ULLs? Also keep in mind the GFS received a new upgrade since that time.

Spring Sandy

Just now, Vice-Regent said:

The New Normal

1 hour ago, forkyfork said:

huh

The New Normal

19 minutes ago, C.A.P.E. said:

This has been my thinking. The UL will do most of the "damage", and it will be an area of heavy rain mainly west of the metros. Most of the good rains end by Tuesday evening. Then as the low weakens and meanders, keeps things mostly cloudy and cool-ish with scattered showers mid to late week. The subtropical low has little impact, other than producing sinking air for eastern areas until it gets shunted further east.

No reason to believe one solution over the other. Usually these tropical systems get slingshotted around the ULL in the tropics.

2 hours ago, C.A.P.E. said:

The Atlantic low looks to escape eastward, but it could inhibit lift on the western side. One possible reason guidance may have the best rains further inland currently, in addition to the 2 shortwaves potentially congealing to the west/sw of our region in the mountains. For now it's something interesting to monitor. If I had to make a call now, I would say the best chance for heavier rain would be in the mountains w/sw of here, with some showery periods further to the east.

The Spring Sandy is coming. I cannot see this getting further east than 65W. The synoptics simply don't support it. We will be in for an extended period of multiple interactions with the cutoff low which is making this May a very special one.

If anything solar minimums lead to diminishing returns in the AGGI climate due to greater quasi resonance patterns (rosby waves). The PV gets stuck in the mid-latitude troposphere and breaks apart.

The cold May is bad news for winter if you like snow and cold. There is probably a correlation if you look for it.

7 minutes ago, WxUSAF said:

Weekend is looking good. Euro has a cutoff that hangs around almost all next week though.

Yeah but that coastal thing comes onshore right. You guys are too far west again. Euro underplaying the intensity no doubt.

17 minutes ago, North Balti Zen said:

Why is around 80 summer returning "with a vengeance"?

Must be fun to deny reality instead of dealing with the fallout of our situation. I accept that it's cold but where did the heat go?

It found it's way to someone else. The amount of heat entering the system never changes. At least not to a measurable degree right now. How much is retained is based on the daily AGI which is only ever increasing because sitting in front of a PC/Phone all day is somehow the gold standard of living a fulfilling life.

Back in the day people were eager to die for ideals and dreams. Life is a dream. Make it your canvas.

and then you have this Corona-panic garbage. Taking risks and following your ideals should be the motivating force in your life. Living just to stay alive is the methodology of the ant farm.

1 hour ago, DCTeacherman said:

Another A+ weather day, feels like November!

Yeah our Novembers are warm these days.

3 hours ago, EastCoast NPZ said:

24F for the low here at 5:30 AM.  Just incredible.  

God damn are your trees still alive? Good luck with that.

Crapola