Vice-Regent

Somebody got rekt. Those pics are sick yet highly disturbing it's bringing back traumatic memories of Isasis.

Just now, Jonger said:

People that opposed carbon sequestration don't care about climate, they have ulterior motives.

20 years of following this topic has solidified this opinion.

We don't destroy our way of life and the climate is saved until we develop 100% energy usage from the sun.

I suppose you are correct. Maybe we just need to accept extinction there are various movements out there for precisely this reason.

Just now, LibertyBell said:

collectivism is a better way that basically puts environment and society on an equal footing with shareholder profit

Sadly collectivism destroys personal autonomy to an unsustainable degree and makes life unfulfilling. I wish It was not true we are not wired for some deeper collective spirit.

We will just need to let go of pipe dreams.

5 hours ago, Jonger said:

This is the worst possible route you can take in an effort to fix this problem right here.

You try to sell this and most people will check out. 

Carbon capture and sequestration is the only solution we have to negate the carbon already in the atmosphere and the additional carbon already in the pipeline. 

Technological solutions are like a pandora's box. We should cut our losses now while we have the chance. If you are investor you know about loss mitigation.

9 hours ago, LibertyBell said:

READ THIS LOUD AND CLEAR

CAPITALISM IS UNSUSTAINABLE BECAUSE IT IS BASED ON SELFISHNESS AND GREED AND THAT WILL ALWAYS LEAD TO A DEAD END OUTCOME

 

Some selfishness is good remember if you optimize yourself individually we would seek the result we want. The drive is to be selfish for the right reasons.

You run the risk of causing reactionary thinking like communism etc.

Civilization is a one-way street to a specific kind of outcome. People always blame the boomers and yes they are accelerators on a bad situation.

However fundamentally this way of life has lost it's appeal and the focus has shifted from mitigating climate change to mitigating civilization and by association slavery.

If you don't feel the same way then put simply you are part of the problem which includes people from all generations and walks of life.

12 hours ago, Weatherdude88 said:

Northern Hemisphere NSIDC sea ice compaction still above the 1990's average.

 

With more high latitude compact ice surviving in the high arctic, parts of the Beaufort, and other seas, 2021 may be the start in a series of recovery years.

A negative AO would not only be helpful to snow weenies who live at mid latitudes in the northern hemisphere, but could add additional thickness to the already surviving compact sea ice pack. We want a negative AO for December, January, and February especially.

Yeah ... no. The upcoming winter will be crazy warm in the mid-latitudes. This +AO will persist.

2 hours ago, etudiant said:

Would note that the Antarctic appears to be mostly cooling. See:  https://www.mdpi.com/2073-4433/12/2/217/htm

Punch line in the summary discussion: ' The temperature trend from ERA5 is consistent with that from observations, in which a cooling trend dominates East Antarctica and West Antarctica, while a warming trend exists in the Antarctic Peninsula except during austral summer.'

This trend won't persist if we keep increasing the GHG forcing. We will turn the global climate system into an equable state as existed during the late Miocene and prior.

There are reasons to be optimistic and none of those reasons involve geoengineering.

8 hours ago, forkyfork said:

they have been chasing a recovery for over a decade

I am not seeing anything remarkable there are much cloudiness to accurately gauge sea ice area and extent is unremarkably low and normal as of late.

The evidence is piling on for warming elsewhere cooling the Arctic during the summer by tightening the 500mb layer in the atmosphere. Eventually the system will reach hysteresis it's already happening.

1 hour ago, LibertyBell said:

Hopefully that puts a big dent into the major drought in the SW.  I saw there was even a flash flood watch for Death Valley National Park today.

This is what I have been saying. If we collectively decide this is the temperature where we are in dire straits then we will miss out on things like the greening of deserts. Best to let the system run it's course population will self-correct overtime in an ethical way.

People just never want to leave their comfort zone. The age of capitalism and communism is gone yet people keep trying to spill blood in the name of these failed ideologies.

41 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Wake me up when July ends.

July is trash but August is even more trash so it's a long road to the downside. We need some MDR-action up here.

Elsa never bothered me anyway. This is good for you because Frozen was an incredible film.

3 minutes ago, CAPE said:

It will have been over land for quite a stretch before it arrives at our latitude, so it likely will start the transition to ET. Could regenerate again when/if it emerges offshore of the DE/NJ coast.

Maybe not transition just lose a bit of steam. I think this system is fascinating going to be one for the memory bank but it's dangerous in many regards.

The main threat is not even surge or winds but tornadoes.

1 hour ago, CAPE said:

lol no.

All guidance must be considered though. And Elsa will be rapidly losing tropical characteristics as it approaches our latitude.

What's the JMA got?

77 degrees with a southeaster passing over you is not very tropical right? Also at 5 AM in the morning. The myth refuses to die.

Even the conservative NHC acknowledges that it will remain a tropical entity well into Gulf of Maine albeit just barely.

Just now, CoastalWx said:

That might be aggressive.

conservative

10 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Euro brings Ellie over either far SE CT or RI. Hard to see exactly 

Now that's a lot of damage. Just not for Tolland.

Conservative.

Somebody is about to be cold smoked by this storm and I hope it's not one of us.

3 minutes ago, Dan said:

https://www.keywestharborwebcam.com/

 

South side of circulation always insanely windy also known as the inflow sector. I had this with Isaias but the Eastern quadrant was just as bad. That was incredible.

11 minutes ago, weathafella said:

Probably another big rain.  This time a muggy type.

I stopped getting the other kind of rain like 12 years ago. Yeah welcome to the club.

49 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said:

Put Elsa up over US 15 and lets get trollnadoes for everyone.

yeah the Euro is too far southeast. We will work on this for a few more days I suspect that it's too slow.

3 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said:

Euro gone wild for some coastal sections lol. 

I take it that is a crush job for Cape May. Pray for me.

This system is a big player yet people keep putting it down. The Caribbean is quite the graveyard for young TCs we are on track to displace that region in terms of ACE and Landfalls.

4 minutes ago, turtlehurricane said:

Elsa has connected with the Jet Stream. This could help fuel intensification and expansion of the storm, and it will particularly enhance rain/wind coverage in the NE quadrant. Very exciting stuff!

SNE is certainly happy about the new GFS coming in. Seems like Isasis all over again.