Vice-Regent

2 minutes ago, Bob Chill said:

No, I'm pretty sure you don't get much at all. 

You are just an asshat. Nothing more... our birthdays are two days apart man.

I am guilty to falling victim to many things. Astrology being one of those if you can respect my right-hemisphere centered self.

2 minutes ago, Bob Chill said:

I guess you missed the words "for reference only" and "generally". If you think I'm pinning my hopes in a d10 op run, you're even dumber than I thought and that's a tall order right there 

Need something to post about. I get that.

In regards to being dumb or not on your wavelength. Look where smart cities have got us.. get real dude.

25 minutes ago, Bob Chill said:

Big amplified patterns with full latitude thoughs or really "steep hills" in the atmosphere create environments for explosive storms but they are super touchy and tricky. Personally, I always look for more confluent flow. I like seeing a broad trough with heights running more zonal underneath instead of "hilly". This is how we get our good cold storms. 

For reference only, take a look at this long range gfs panel. See how the trough in the east is broad and kinda flat underneath? See that shortwave to the west undercutting? This is what we (in the MA) want to see in general. Confluent flow keeps cold air plentiful and keeps storms from pulling north and/or west. 

 

 

The more time we spend with a general regime similar to above, the better the odds of a pretty good storm. 

Too bad you are pinning your hopes on the GFS which has been too cold in the long-range. Some inherent bias in the resolution of the modeling. It's showing up on everything but most apparent on the GFS. This period of wintry respite is starting to cloud your judgement Bob Chill.

If it's any consolation in regards to the stripe of 0.5" some of that is lost to rain. Take what you can get I suppose.

Al Pacino is a legend. That's all I got wherever he goes the snow will follow.

6 minutes ago, mappy said:

I will happily take what the Euro shows, regardless that its not "significant". Snow is snow yall. 

Well said Mappy honestly. It's been 4 years since the snow drought began locally and is now coming to an end.

1 minute ago, WinterWxLuvr said:

ICON is 100 times more reliable than the NAM

So true people are clueless in regards to the ICON. It is a trend setter not a follower.

4 minutes ago, Vice-Regent said:

Nobody posted the ICON.

Such a smol storm. I feel blessed that it ever happened a real thread the needle type situation. If we go by according to the ICON this will generate incredible frustration.

I don't think this is storm mode material but considering the drought of good winter events it should be.

1 minute ago, H2O said:

Stop giving RR material to work with

Nobody posted the ICON.

A long list of real sh** that you can look back on with reliability. "Those were the days".

Thermals going to hell really fast down here. I'll take some frontogenesis however. What a dope storm.

Just too silly. Not even the December 8th 2018 snowstorm managed to wreck the DC crew from the southeast.

Isn't that more snowfall verbatim than some places in New York and Pennsylvania? (on a season to date basis).

Just now, psuhoffman said:

 The bar on your posts can’t get any lower. 

You are the one who understood it before I did. You even admitted that we are f***ed. I started to enjoy your posts for a brief moment.

The bar has been lowered quite a bit from the golden years of the 2010s. "Can we get cold".

1 minute ago, IronTy said:

Someone gonna start the thread once the warnings are hoisted?

If it's not region-wide then I have mixed feelings about starting a thread. I've come a long way from my degenerate weenie days.

This storm is playing us like a fiddle. I cannot wait to see the disappointment.

Mixed signals how do we know it's legit without any meaningful support from meso guidance? Bizarre storm.

Just now, ecovers94 said:

There must be something specific here,  short-term climactically, because it's been colder in Europe so far this winter. I'm wondering what this is

Also a cold Europe is bad for us. Scary when the AGW signal is overwhelming the short-term variability in the system.

15 minutes ago, ecovers94 said:

 Popping in to ask: What is happening with overnight lows that it has yet to go below 31 degrees... even in 2015 we had that happen? Why can’t it happen? What is going on? It's bizarre and kind of concerning.

The Anthropogenic warming signal is so strong now that it's showing up in overnight temperature minimums.

17 hours ago, WinterWxLuvr said:

This would have to be terrifying 

 

This is our future luckily we really are close to the ocean which acts as kind of a buffer. Keeps the cold air axis too far west.

1 minute ago, CAPE said:

Its snowing there.

Oddball.

I would say it is about 30/70 rain to snow. Not that it matters that much in the end.

Rates are king for those people and ourselves. It's also early December.

Not a great look going forward. The Denver snow hole anomaly is the canary in the coal mine.

2 minutes ago, CAPE said:

Flakes flying in Salisbury.

 

Camera looking pretty wet my man.

This is cringe as hell and the sky looks like a slate grey of nothingness. There is no virga anywhere.

Onto the next ... or not.

1 hour ago, Lowershoresadness said:

soooo,  next year? Maybe?