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Henry's Weather

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Everything posted by Henry's Weather

  1. when we start having to rely on rates to 'mix down' colder air, we're in trouble.
  2. using your hypnotizing meteorological verbiage to get my hopes up, I always fall for it.
  3. We could seriously benefit from the H5 low closing off about 50 miles east
  4. Any way for this to change as we approach, or is this just the type of system we'll have?
  5. Maybe I'm just extremely biased, but I don't understand why QPF isn't pushing 2 inches with a track that slow and such a dynamic system. Is it because it vertically stacks too early?
  6. Either they're priming the public for the inevitable increase, or thsy aren't too enthused with the slow rate of strengthening and occlusion.
  7. so the derivative of temperature differential? I'll bet it's a good proxy for lift then?
  8. ohhhh, is that what x mB frontogenesis actually is? Air temp differential? that makes sense
  9. so essentially, warm, moist air off the ocean via storm circulation running into cold, dry air causes more instability?
  10. hopefully you mean jist... I'm rooting for your analysis to be correct haha
  11. Uncanny to see watches out for Mid-Atlantic when we won't see them hoisted here for a day or two. Slow moving systems seem pretty rare these days.
  12. decent amount of Junos there. High end potential seems to still be on the table.
  13. Seems to really thump for about 12-18 hours with lingering Currier and Ives type stuff afterwards for another 18
  14. One would think that QPF output is too low given the track and the speed. Or is this just weenie goggles?
  15. Correct me if I'm wrong, but there seems to be a similar level of traffic downstream between both of these events, regardless of calculated NAO indices. We didn't have the omega block in 2015 though.
  16. this looks like a rip-off version of one of those day 3 euro runs for Jan 2015, which jacked Trenton-NYC and gave Eastern Mass the occluded snows. Probably chop off 30% of those totals though.
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