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Henry's Weather

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Everything posted by Henry's Weather

  1. ohhhh, is that what x mB frontogenesis actually is? Air temp differential? that makes sense
  2. so essentially, warm, moist air off the ocean via storm circulation running into cold, dry air causes more instability?
  3. hopefully you mean jist... I'm rooting for your analysis to be correct haha
  4. Uncanny to see watches out for Mid-Atlantic when we won't see them hoisted here for a day or two. Slow moving systems seem pretty rare these days.
  5. decent amount of Junos there. High end potential seems to still be on the table.
  6. Seems to really thump for about 12-18 hours with lingering Currier and Ives type stuff afterwards for another 18
  7. One would think that QPF output is too low given the track and the speed. Or is this just weenie goggles?
  8. Correct me if I'm wrong, but there seems to be a similar level of traffic downstream between both of these events, regardless of calculated NAO indices. We didn't have the omega block in 2015 though.
  9. this looks like a rip-off version of one of those day 3 euro runs for Jan 2015, which jacked Trenton-NYC and gave Eastern Mass the occluded snows. Probably chop off 30% of those totals though.
  10. not to be a weenie but I think that run would be like 15-25"+ verbatim for ENE based on H5 track and speed.
  11. Pessimism/scepticism is wayyy better then blind optimism at the d4-5 range
  12. We should still be leaning heavily on ensembles at this point, right? The energy doesn't come ashore until midday Friday, so we don't know the exact level of detail the deterministic model approach would require. Obviously I'm hoping for a more potent, concentrated shortwave.
  13. Let NYC people get excited before the inevitable progressive trend at the end....I hope.
  14. What I've heard is true, you really do have a jackpot fetish! Here on the coast, I'm usually fine with 60% of what ORH gets.
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