Jump to content

CheeselandSkies

Members
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    3,255

  • Joined

  • Last visited

 Content Type 

Everything posted by CheeselandSkies

  1. CheeselandSkies
    Do they just stop paying attention after the summer solstice?
  2. CheeselandSkies
    Seems like this kind of thing only happens in WI on the low-key outlook days. Enhanced/moderate risk with hatched area for hail and we don't see this. That said, it seems the upper Midwest in general rarely gets really large hail events, even with our tornadic supercells (not like in the way that the Plains does). Which is fine with me, since I'm not looking to lose my windshield on a chase.
  3. CheeselandSkies
    Pretty solid model agreement that the core should miss Bermuda to the east, seems the westward shifts from early on have stopped/even reversed a bit. Good chance they get TS-force winds out of the north as it passes by, though.
  4. CheeselandSkies
    He'll be alright.
  5. CheeselandSkies
    We gonna west shift all the way to Texas?
  6. CheeselandSkies
    September is an odd time for severe weather events in this region, but with the way August overachieved compared to May and June I suppose anything is possible at this point. Hell just within the last five years we've had tornado outbreaks in December and February.
  7. CheeselandSkies
    What looked from video like a fairly large tornado occurred in New Jersey associated with Ida's remnant low.
  8. CheeselandSkies
    I'm good with that as long as it's not a whole season.
  9. CheeselandSkies
    Nice respite after the wonderfully stormy (regionally speaking) but often warm/oppressively humid August.
  10. CheeselandSkies
    That's more of a dry slot than a proper eye, but this has great outflow structure and no vertical stacking issues early on unlike most of the earlier-season systems. This cyclone is going places, especially as it gets into warmer waters further west and even northwest.
  11. CheeselandSkies
    Sure it is. They report 135kt/155 MPH easily (was Michael's operational landfall intensity). 55, 95 and 135 MPH are the ones you won't see because there's no conversion from knots that rounds to 5. Sent from my Pixel 4a using Tapatalk
  12. CheeselandSkies
    Kinda reminds me of Irma...remember after that first bout of RI close to Africa it kind of hung out at the borderline between Cat. 2/3 for a day or two and then it hit the rocket fuel. Of course Ida doesn't have that long but it's hitting the rocket fuel now.
  13. CheeselandSkies
    I da bomb.
  14. CheeselandSkies
    Those outflow channels...there's a reason the hurricane symbol is shaped like it is.
  15. CheeselandSkies
    As usual, the MS River acts as a brick wall for tornadic supercells coming east out of Iowa.
  16. CheeselandSkies
    Aw man, I coulda made it to Iowa today. That went just north of my storm on 7/14. I got too caught up in watching Hurricane Ida stuff after work and then took a nap, didn't pay attention to what was going on here locally.
  17. CheeselandSkies
    Severe thunderstorm warning out for parts of Iowa/Sauk/Dane, LEWP apparent on KARX.
  18. CheeselandSkies
    SPC today... LOL summer.
  19. CheeselandSkies
    MKX's late morning AFD update was good for an LOL:
  20. CheeselandSkies
    "No...Ida." "BLAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAARRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRGGGGGGGGGGGGGGH!"
  21. CheeselandSkies
    All the surge with Zeta was over sparsely populated Terrebonne Parish, it moved through quickly with damaging winds on the front eyewall but little on the back side, as it had already begun to open up (halfacane).
  22. CheeselandSkies
    Agreed, an embarrassing number of recon issues lately. We'll have to resort to assessing TC intensity by surveying after the fact like with tornadoes.
  23. CheeselandSkies
    It's not lopsided...that's typical wind distribution for a well-formed hurricane.
  24. CheeselandSkies
    ...and that leaves room for further intensification with 24 hrs between forecast points.
  25. CheeselandSkies
    Effect will be negligible if only goes over that narrow western end. It didn't do much to Charley as I recall (maybe knocked it back 5kt, but that didn't stop the RI prior to Florida landfall).
×
×
  • Create New...