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CheeselandSkies

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Everything posted by CheeselandSkies

  1. CheeselandSkies
    That's why we're down from 5"-7" on the NW fringe to less than 2."
  2. CheeselandSkies
    12Z GFS not budging...seems the models don't agree on anything except very paltry totals (if anything beyond DAB) northwest of a line drawn right through our BY, @madwx
  3. CheeselandSkies
    Has me right on the line between another virtual shutout and about 2"...first time in my observations any model besides the GFS has given us more than a dusting.
  4. CheeselandSkies
    Usual disclaimer, it's the 18Z GFS at >200hours but that run verbatim would be another significant ice storm somewhere in the sub. Maybe third time's the charm for those of us getting missed again this week? At any rate, it would be nice to start eating away at the precip deficit here as we head into spring. Dreaming of with a surface pattern like that about 10 weeks from now.
  5. CheeselandSkies
    Come on GFS. We have been so bone dry around here. Running nearly 20" below normal in Madison.
  6. CheeselandSkies
    Riding that 6"+ line again (10:1, even more so Kuchera) @madwx
  7. CheeselandSkies
    Didn't recognize you without Smooth Jimmy.
  8. CheeselandSkies
    So in other words, miss SE again for those of us who got shafted by the last one. If I were a snow lover, this winter for southern WI wouldn't even merit an F-. It would get kicked out of school for academic dishonesty.
  9. CheeselandSkies
    Places in WI that were getting >12" for 5, 6 runs straight as of yesterday's 12Z GFS are now getting <3" on today's 12Z.
  10. CheeselandSkies
    And what pattern is that, exactly? And what combination of teleconnections will it take to change that? Seems no matter what, +/- ENSO, PDO, NAO, AO etc the result is the same for years on end.
  11. CheeselandSkies
    Many such apps are distributed by local TV stations.
  12. CheeselandSkies
    Weenie totals in full effect not far from MBY. 2'+ with those implied ratios would be disastrous.
  13. CheeselandSkies
    If the surface/500mb look for next Thursday holds, all I ask is that we get about 10-14 days of repeated rounds with similar systems sometime from mid-April through May.
  14. CheeselandSkies
    12Z GFS looks mighty interesting in about 8 days for both winter and severe...details/ceiling will change many times of course but definitely some potential there.
  15. CheeselandSkies
    I like the optimism. Sent from my Pixel 4a using Tapatalk
  16. CheeselandSkies
    Looks like a good May pattern to me.
  17. CheeselandSkies
    Wouldn't mind an evolution like late Feb. 2017. Couple of gorgeous days, followed by kitchen sink winter storm, followed by another warmup with severe weather. Sent from my Pixel 4a using Tapatalk
  18. CheeselandSkies
    Over the last week or so where we've gotten a couple of those DAB snows where the city then puts down about 1/4" of salt powder. Sent from my Pixel 4a using Tapatalk
  19. CheeselandSkies
    Saw a flurry at best from that "dog", as did everyone northwest of that sharp cutoff line.
  20. CheeselandSkies
    I know, right? But my point was, the tweet referenced the GFS, so it seems to be flipping from run to run, which is not exactly unexpected at the ranges we're talking about.
  21. CheeselandSkies
    Haven't looked at the subsequent runs but 6Z GFS had a massive cold shot late in the run... Sent from my Pixel 4a using Tapatalk
  22. CheeselandSkies
    Mood DAB here, IIRC this clipper was expected to pass completely dry as of a couple days ago, so there's that. @madwx
  23. CheeselandSkies
    18Z GFS basically has single digits either side of 0 sitting over WI through the end of the run with only brief respites. Best we can do is mid-20s while 50s push to the ND/SD border just shy of 200 hours.
  24. CheeselandSkies
    Latest CPC 8-14 has continued BN in the east/Midwest so
  25. CheeselandSkies
    Well, any of that "above normal" precip isn't coming in the first 7 days around here.
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