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CheeselandSkies

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Everything posted by CheeselandSkies

  1. CheeselandSkies
    13Z HRRR is, um... interesting. Sent from my Pixel 4a using Tapatalk
  2. CheeselandSkies
    SPC up to 5% on the prob at 13Z. Looks like another day this year I can't ignore, as much as I might want to (4/30, 5/19, 5/25).
  3. CheeselandSkies
    21/7/4. 145 ACE. Put a sock in it.
  4. CheeselandSkies
    We've had the setups, they just always verify up north in the trees (6/15) or something hoses them day of (3/28/20). August marginal risks are where it's at.
  5. CheeselandSkies
    3K NAM gets a little frisky with the MCS over southern WI/northern IL overnight Monday-Tuesday, and fires up another one Tuesday evening.
  6. CheeselandSkies
    Latest MKX AFD... Sounds good to me.
  7. CheeselandSkies
    Yeah, it was not good. Sent from my Pixel 4a using Tapatalk
  8. CheeselandSkies
    Like July 2009. Sent from my Pixel 4a using Tapatalk
  9. CheeselandSkies
    Showers made it into Dane County on fumes, no lightning left.
  10. CheeselandSkies
    So what's limiting the severe wx chances, given that we're in the W/NW flow? Usually this time of year it's massive ridging and no shear/dynamics.
  11. CheeselandSkies
    Some of the anomaly maps being posted really demonstrate the capricious nature of convective precip, very tight gradients between the haves and have-nots. Sent from my Pixel 4a using Tapatalk
  12. CheeselandSkies
    Lame, they split around Madison. Warnings in Iowa/Lafayette, and northeastern Dane.
  13. CheeselandSkies
    93 at Madison. Mild. We're still forecast to hit 97.
  14. CheeselandSkies
    Goes to show, a climate stat geek I am not.
  15. CheeselandSkies
    Here's one for the climo stat geeks: Any summer high temp records left at any of the major Midwest/Great Lakes stations that don't belong to 1988, 1995 or 2012? Sent from my Pixel 4a using Tapatalk
  16. CheeselandSkies
    Didn't we have one of those in 2020? Both in terms of an actual warm-core low (Cristobal) moving through, and then the 120-140 MPH gusts with the derecho in August?
  17. CheeselandSkies
    Same, except I was on my way back after busting in Iowa. Nothing I was on really did anything, except for the cell becoming severe warned as I was coming through Verona and almost home. As I'd feared all the good action was up in the woods, and even that didn't last long in terms of significant/classic supercellular production. That signature near Oakdale around 21Z was gnarly, though. Appears Mauston narrowly avoided a major hit, as well. At Barneveld just off 151:
  18. CheeselandSkies
    Yuck. Sent from my Pixel 4a using Tapatalk
  19. CheeselandSkies
    I'm in Oelwein, IA hoping to jump on the cells as they mature. Sent from my Pixel 4a using Tapatalk
  20. CheeselandSkies
    I'm seeing Madison snuck in a daily record by 1 degree at 96. @madwx Sent from my Pixel 4a using Tapatalk
  21. CheeselandSkies
    Had to pause at that one for a moment. My wife is a public child welfare social worker so CPS automatically reads "child protective services" to me. Sent from my Pixel 4a using Tapatalk
  22. CheeselandSkies
    Looking ahead to Wednesday...00Z HRRR and 3KM NAM are in...both agree that the unchaseable Northwoods get rocked (again) but rather different solutions for southern areas, naturally. Looks like temperatures could still be hot enough that LCLs will be an issue for threat except perhaps if moisture pools along a boundary.
  23. CheeselandSkies
    Beastly supercell going through the Ft. Wayne/New Haven area right now, fortunately for them like all the others today it seems to be spamming RFD surges preventing the low-level mesocyclone from really wrapping up, but a significant wind and hail producer.
  24. CheeselandSkies
    Unusual to see tornado warning text (not sure if I've ever seen it, even on a QLCS) explicitly mention the straight-line wind threat as well. Was fully not expecting this this evening. Thought once the WI cell moved out over LM that was it on this side, took a nap after I got home.
  25. CheeselandSkies
    Nice to finally see (roughly, rotation nowhere near as strong obviously, and fortunately) what Plainfield would have looked like on NEXRAD after all these years.
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