CheeselandSkies

Good God, I hope not. 2021 was close to that. Bone dry early to mid spring, many warm and sunny but windy days with blowing dust/dirt.

True.

Great, now WEAs are gonna become meaningless to most people. I was skeptical when they used them (at least here in WI) to announce the state COVID-19 lockdown in March of 2020. The virus is invisible and the risk of infection ever-present every time you interact with another person for the foreseeable future. I think they're much more appropriate for short-fuse threats of physical harm that you take cover from and then go about your business once it's over. Tornado warnings, flash flood warnings, gas leak, mass shooter on the loose, zombie apocalypse, etc.

I've had a few good ones in recent years (not counting the ones that I actually chase, when I usually miss the tornado by my own screw-up), but they're usually not on the days when you're expecting them.

Not seeing anything from the 8th floor of Meriter Hospital. Sent from my Pixel 4a using Tapatalk

Who broke the major global models (esp. the EURO) and when, why and how? They're getting worse with each "upgrade."

It's in the basement at Mar-a-Lago in a box marked "classified."

MKX has been forced to go with the dreaded "Winter storm watch to WWA" about-face for the actual snowfall portion of this event in their CWA, tonight through tomorrow. They mention still being concerned about potential for ground blizzard conditions later tomorrow into Friday but have held off the blizzard warning, even though they are up to our west in Iowa.

With the excitement for the upcoming event abating somewhat, might be a good time to reminisce on the not-too-distant past. The couple of wet & heavy thumps (I wonder if those might have been less than 10:1) in the early part of the month combined with a misty fog resulted in decent conditions for shooting the daylight run of the Canadian Pacific Holiday Train through southern Wisconsin on Saturday the 10th. Of course, the full effect comes after dark, and is best conveyed with video:

GFS has QC area touching 50 on 12/29. Been consistent with that almost since it came into range, too. Could be consistently wrong...

Are you on-air or behind the scenes? I work behind the scenes on the morning show at a local station here in Madison.

How does that even work? SPC site shows nothing but then again HI and AK aren't even on their map... literally. Sent from my Pixel 4a using Tapatalk

So in other words, we're basically back to where we were before this "west trend" started?

That does stick out like a sore...well, you know. I wonder what was the storm 3,644 days ago that resulted in blizzard warnings from Arkansas through Ohio?

So in other words, we're steady reeling in highest impacts in Chicago/N. IL/S. WI region? Sent from my Pixel 4a using Tapatalk

Huge potential for widespread power outages with the wind behind this just as the real arctic air settles in. Glad I don't live in my previous apartment solely dependent on the puny electric heater anymore, but the gas furnace still requires power to ignite and run the blower sooooo...

It's the GFS, but today's 12Z run does have temperatures moderating toward the end of the month after the Christmas chill + whatever fun comes prior to it. Some regular posters in this sub are fans of prolonged deep freeze...I am not one of them. * Actually, looks like there is some sort of western trough/storm system involved with that...again GFS fantasy range. But from where I sit, this has been a far from boring weatherwise start to winter, although the constant cloud cover is starting to get old.

966 mb over Lake Ontario, 1043 over ND...who's ready for the hurricane-force northwesterlies?

EF1 confirmed NW of Sopchoppy with that, it seems damage was limited to trees. NOLA tornado apparently hit some businesses in the Arabi district that had just finished rebuilding from the March EF3.

Pretty out this morning. Driving into work at 3AM on the fresh wet cement sucked, but the roads improved rapidly especially once the plows came through.

Hoosier daddy?

He's quickly become one of my favorite YouTubers. I've learned a lot from him already that I think will improve my chasing.

MKX surely does not have Madison getting a foot by 06Z Friday.

Where is that trough in April with 75/68 in the warm sector? Although, given recent history, that may not matter.

Smallish supercells ongoing in the Oklahoma panhandle/extreme SW KS, multiple tornado warnings on them. 2.5" hail reported in Beaver County, OK. Nocturnal destabilization is being driven by strong cooling aloft despite modest moisture. CAPE is meager but concentrated in the low levels which is ripe for development.