WesternFringe
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Everything posted by WesternFringe
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Model trends seem good for increased amounts in central and western VA and the precip shield extending up to the metros.
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My wife's grandfather used to talk about the March 6, 1962 storm. The forecasters the night before were calling for a few inches, and they woke up to a blizzard that ended up dropping 30.5" in Staunton.
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I thought all that play by play was for Friday
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Anyone have the GFS clown map? edit: I jumped the gun. I will be patient. Lol
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Saw flurries yesterday and last night for the 5th or 6th time this year, which is a good sign. 32° currently under a winter weather advisory tonight here in Augusta County northwest of Staunton.
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Anomaly Correlation Coefficient (ACC) has increased by about 20% over the last 20 years for 5 day lead times and nearly 30% for 7 day lead times. It has increased about 60% for 10 day leads!! Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) is down by 23% at 5 day leads. These numbers are all from the GFS and ECMWF.
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Sure, if we take a deterministic model verbatim at hour 324.
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25 degrees this morning here, now up to 29. Flurries on and off. Had some awesome and intense graupel and flurries yesterday. NW of Staunton in Augusta County
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Where in Augusta? It is a BIG county and the western part isn't forecast to get nearly as much as the eastern part of the county.
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@CAPE@stormtracker@Scraff How much do 4 packs of 120 minute normally cost? Last time I was here on the eastern shore they were $38.99, but this time they are $18.99
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It's right where we want it at this point before the inevitable north trend. To upstate NY.
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I think it isn’t weight, but more like an outlier skews the mean phenomenon. eta: but I know you follow it more closely than I do this time of year and I may just be wrong lol
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It was high ratio fluff for sure. Added an inch to my 2” yesterday!
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2:12 today
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Yeah, topped out at around 2”+ here as well. I don’t measure tenths of an inch because I don’t care to know that much! Lol It was fun and pretty but didn’t affect ability to travel, which is a perfect outcome sometimes. Enough to get the kids 2 days off from school and their mom and I 2 days off from teaching as well. 19° with 2 inches plus on the ground northwest of Staunton in Augusta County.
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21° and light steady snow. Just recently passed 1 inch. The tree down in the background was taken down by a 60 mph gust the other day! When my wife asked what this storm was going to be like yesterday, I told her it would be like one of those Christmas Hallmark movies where it snows the whole time, but there’s never more than a couple inches on the ground! Lol
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Steady, light snow at 18° here northwest of Staunton in Augusta County. Coming up on an inch otg.
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Maybe they are looking at the timing of morning and the latest NWS map and temps maxing out at 24?
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I am more convinced than ever that this poster is a bot.
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Have a map?
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My family and I have a permanent campsite and camper there. Love that place and have some good friends there!
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Depends on location as this is a large subforum. NWS is getting more bullish for mby today.
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This was upped from 1 to 2 this morning. LFG!!
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32/12
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To be fair, I don't see even one laughing emoji response
