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WesternFringe

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Everything posted by WesternFringe

  1. WesternFringe
    I would add Euro and CMC to Days 1-3, but I think it is pretty good. How would you make it ‘accurate’?
  2. WesternFringe
    A wise man once posted this. Could have sworn it was you!
  3. WesternFringe
    Are you saying we shouldn’t take one run of a deterministic model 3 days out verbatim? eta: Is there a way to block users by location? Like from PA for example? Lol
  4. WesternFringe
    If it is souther and more amped, must be more confluence?
  5. WesternFringe
    Mappy moved it to banter. Lol In all seriousness, the track appears to be pretty much set within tight goalposts at this point. Now it is thermals and soundings that are most important to those south of the mason-dixon line. Stinks to be worried about thermals (especially down here) in our epic cold pattern, but it what it is. Rooting for a Ukie/Euro blend here.
  6. WesternFringe
    Those were point in time maps, not cumulative, so why would it matter if the model is still running?
  7. WesternFringe
    It is also about 6 hrs slower than the 12z GFS with the onset of precipitation (3z Monday vs 21z Sunday) here, which makes a huge difference for the temps in the column.
  8. WesternFringe
    Question for the more knowledgeable posters here: Does the Euro or the GFS do better with thermals at this range? 12Z GFS has a nasty warm nose at 700-850 mb for most of the storm here whereas the 6Z Euro shows the column staying plenty cold throughout.
  9. WesternFringe
    Sooo, does the 12Z GFS run give 2-3" here in NW Augusta County like WB says or 10"+ like SV says? Asking for a friend! lol
  10. WesternFringe
    Flurries here in Swoope (Augusta County). 27 degrees
  11. WesternFringe
    When I am the only one browsing the thread, it’s a bad sign.
  12. WesternFringe
    Lots of solutions recently from the GFS and Euro, but w/ the cold and pattern being perfect and seeded with unpredictable shortwaves, it just appears to want to snow or ice in our sub around the 6th, details tbd. i am excited
  13. WesternFringe
    This. I know suppression can be a concern, but this forum is always harping on it not being cold enough. Then, we get excellent cold being modeled and we have folks harping on suppression! Lol The way I see it, it snows a lot in Canada and Alaska and Siberia, etc. It is pretty cold in those places.
  14. WesternFringe
    Had a little bit of snow overnight.
  15. WesternFringe
    More snow than sleet now and 32°. I just went on a JebDrive (aka beer run). Back roads near my house are caving.
  16. WesternFringe
    Started as rain, but sleet now and 32 degrees. Augusta County- NW of Staunton eta: Snowflakes mixing in now!
  17. WesternFringe
    GFS bullish west of I-81. About 4” imby if it doesn’t all wash away!
  18. WesternFringe
    It’s gonna snow y’all!
  19. WesternFringe
    38° and light flurries here NW of Staunton in Augusta County
  20. WesternFringe
    This was yesterday around 5:00 when a few squalls came through. Ended up with a half inch of stickage.
  21. WesternFringe
    Snow showers (heavy flurries) off and on today, with temps around 40. 38 currently. NW of Staunton in Augusta County
  22. WesternFringe
    Got 5” here in Augusta County on the Wednesday right before Thanksgiving in the early 2010s. Anybody know the exact year?
  23. WesternFringe
    Oh, I misunderstood. I thought you were saying less extreme that the GEFS!
  24. WesternFringe
    Less extreme?
  25. WesternFringe
    That’s nearly an inch of snow accumulation then. Doesn’t matter how long it lasts with regards to accumulation. As far as snowfall, it was probably more since some melted upon impact with the ground. You would need a frozen board to measure snowfall.
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