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WesternFringe

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Everything posted by WesternFringe

  1. It is also about 6 hrs slower than the 12z GFS with the onset of precipitation (3z Monday vs 21z Sunday) here, which makes a huge difference for the temps in the column.
  2. Question for the more knowledgeable posters here: Does the Euro or the GFS do better with thermals at this range? 12Z GFS has a nasty warm nose at 700-850 mb for most of the storm here whereas the 6Z Euro shows the column staying plenty cold throughout.
  3. Sooo, does the 12Z GFS run give 2-3" here in NW Augusta County like WB says or 10"+ like SV says? Asking for a friend! lol
  4. Flurries here in Swoope (Augusta County). 27 degrees
  5. When I am the only one browsing the thread, it’s a bad sign.
  6. Lots of solutions recently from the GFS and Euro, but w/ the cold and pattern being perfect and seeded with unpredictable shortwaves, it just appears to want to snow or ice in our sub around the 6th, details tbd. i am excited
  7. This. I know suppression can be a concern, but this forum is always harping on it not being cold enough. Then, we get excellent cold being modeled and we have folks harping on suppression! Lol The way I see it, it snows a lot in Canada and Alaska and Siberia, etc. It is pretty cold in those places.
  8. Had a little bit of snow overnight.
  9. More snow than sleet now and 32°. I just went on a JebDrive (aka beer run). Back roads near my house are caving.
  10. Started as rain, but sleet now and 32 degrees. Augusta County- NW of Staunton eta: Snowflakes mixing in now!
  11. GFS bullish west of I-81. About 4” imby if it doesn’t all wash away!
  12. 38° and light flurries here NW of Staunton in Augusta County
  13. This was yesterday around 5:00 when a few squalls came through. Ended up with a half inch of stickage.
  14. Snow showers (heavy flurries) off and on today, with temps around 40. 38 currently. NW of Staunton in Augusta County
  15. Got 5” here in Augusta County on the Wednesday right before Thanksgiving in the early 2010s. Anybody know the exact year?
  16. Oh, I misunderstood. I thought you were saying less extreme that the GEFS!
  17. That’s nearly an inch of snow accumulation then. Doesn’t matter how long it lasts with regards to accumulation. As far as snowfall, it was probably more since some melted upon impact with the ground. You would need a frozen board to measure snowfall.
  18. 48° and snow and graupel and intermittent sunshine here in Augusta County nw of Staunton
  19. Super windy with intermittent flurries at 38° and a windchill of 28°. NW of Staunton in Augusta County
  20. 45° and sleeting for the last 20 minutes here NW of Staunton in Augusta County.
  21. This was the warmest winter on record for the contiguous USA:
  22. I chased snow by Jeb hiking up to Little Bald Knob (4350’) in northern Augusta County yesterday. It was awesome!
  23. I have had above average snow 3 of the last 6 winters out here in western Augusta County. The 3 that weren't had really awful totals, but it hasn't been horrible here all things considered.
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